Cold Fusion - The Full Story
Transcript
Utah, 1869. Promontory Summit. Located in the great plains almost 70 miles from Salt Lake City. It is the site of a moment in history.
The last spike in the first transcontinental railway is being hammered in. There is media abound. Railway baron Leland Stanford has the honour of hammering in the final spike. The moment
he swings that hammer, a message is sent out across the telegraph network. “Done”. Except he misses his swing. It doesn't matter though. The spike is for show.
A hole had already been dug and the spike was placed into it beforehand. It's also not even full gold, it was iron painted with gold. And besides, right after the famous photograph was taken
they would remove it and put a regular one in after. People would just steal it otherwise. The golden spike is a symbol of the completion of a monumental task, the meeting of two industrial titans whose work cost millions and produced an engineering marvel that connected the
Atlantic and Pacific oceans with one final leg. A celebration of rival companies, and the backbreaking labour of thousands of immigrants. It's the moment that made it into the history books, because it made for one hell of a photo. 120 years later, and just 64 miles to the
south east, a new Golden Spike ceremony is playing out once again, but instead of the Great Plains, we’re at the Salt Lake City airport in a FedEx office. There is a camera crew here. They're filming a grad student, Marvin Hawkins, who is clutching an envelope. Inside it is
the most important paper of his career. He's waiting for someone who will never show up. They had an agreement that they would submit their papers at the same time, back to back. A show
of good faith. Marvin doesn't realize it yet, but he's just an unfortunate pawn about to be trampled in a much larger dispute. In about a month, he’d be fired, just months away from getting his PhD.
The people he’s waiting for right now had no interest in playing pretend nice for the media. This was war now. This was more than a potential Nobel prize.
Their discovery was the solution to the world's energy crisis, the key to eliminate the world’s dependence on oil, the resource that was slowly killing the planet. Just days ago Exonn-Valdez had caused the largest oil spill in history off the coast of Alaska. The timing is almost prophetic.
Today is Good Friday. Salvation was here, and it had been discovered in Utah. It was time to spread the good word. [Music] Utah is not exactly the first the place you think of when you hear about a scientific breakthrough. Let’s be honest here, your mind almost certainly
went to the church of Latter day Saints. The state was founded by the controversial religious group while they searched for a promised land to make their own, and they fought with the federal government for decades before they were eventually accepted into the union. Notably, only after the church publicly disavowed
their former tradition of polygamy, and throughout the 20th century Utah as a state craved legitimacy in the eyes of the rest of the nation. The state spent years building up their image as something more than just the home of the Mormons. Their national parks and ski resorts attract millions of tourists each year.
Now iconic films have made their premiere there at Sundance. They lobbied for almost 20 years to host the eventual 2002 Winter Olympics. But for every success there would be a Utah story making national news for all the wrong reasons.
In the 1980s there were the deadly Salt Lake City bombings of Mark Hofmann. Another was a shoot-out with police involving an illegal family of polygamists. The issue was summed up by a local political pundit: “If you ask a lot of people in Utah what they fear, it’s that everyone is going to laugh at us.
We want money and we want respect. We would very much like to be respected, not as Nevada is for gambling, or Wyoming, for coal, but for brains and for talent.” Despite its perception as a bit of an intellectual backwater, in the 90s Utah had the 2nd highest rate of high school graduates that went on
to higher education. It’s home to plenty of great schools, with the top 2 locked in an eternal rivalry with each other. Brigham Young University, located in Provo, is owned and operated by the Mormon church, and it enforces a draconian and regressive honour code, but has a good reputation
in the field of engineering and nursing. And then there was BYU’s longtime football adversary. The top school in the state. The University of Utah. Or the U, for short.
An all around good research institute, its genetics program was respected all across the country, and it was the birthplace of the now iconic Utah Teapot, the benchmark of 3D modeling. And its chemistry department was no slouch either, ranked within the top 20 in the country.
One Utah resident wanted to improve those rankings. And he was going to do everything he could to earn his state the respect he felt it deserved. Even if it cost him his job.
Chase Peterson, like most people from the state, was a Mormon. Although he was not a fanatical one. He had spent most of his early career out east, and got a medical degree from Harvard, and eventually became the dean of admissions.
But his home state beckoned to him, and he eventually returned, becoming the President of the University of Utah in 1983. His time out east had taught him how to rub elbows with the wealthy and attract donors, skills he would desperately need as U of U was facing a period of steep decline.
State education budgets were being slashed each year as Utah’s whole economy slowed. And that meant Peterson had to cut his school’s budget 8 times in just as many years. If he wanted money, he either
had to convince the government he deserved it, or he had to make friends in the private sector. And the way you go about that is by making headlines. Back in 1972, a U of U chemist announced that he’d invented the first ever X-ray laser.
After much excitement, no other labs could reproduce it, and it became jokingly known as the Utah Effect. What Peterson needed was another one of those, but real this time. His first real time in the national spotlight
was when U of U doctors implanted the first ever artificial heart into a man named Barney Clarke. Clarke had long suffered from severe heart problems and was going to die without medical intervention. It was a ground breaking surgery, and 70 reporters came from all over the globe
to cover it. It was an intense 6 hour procedure, and Clarke had severe complications, including seizures and breathing problems. Unfortunately, he died in hospital 112 days later. Although
clearly a step forward, it was not a success, Clarke was intended to live much longer. The Utah effect had struck again. But despite the failure, Chase Peterson’s handling of the announcement was positively received.
He was a calm voice of reason who had a clear handle on sharing complex topics with the world, and he had high ambitions. His name was floated in political circles, potentially as a Democratic candidate for senate. One more solid announcement and he could maybe think about planning his next moves. It was just a matter of time until some
at the U came up with a real breakthrough. That moment came in late 1988. Peterson learned of this project through bits and pieces. It was apparently highly confidential, even a whisper of it getting to the wrong person could jeopardize it.
It was something supposedly world changing. Two professors in the chemistry department had been working on something for years in secret. The administration first got wind of it when they submitted a funding
proposal to the dean of science, Hugo Rossi. Rossi had read it, but the implications didn’t click until he woke up in the middle of the night. The first thing he the next morning was call the scientist and asked quite bluntly: “Are you building a bomb?” And the answer he got
was, quote: “Well, I suppose you could put it that way.” It was not, in fact, a bomb. But Washington would soon be paying close attention anyway. The lab in which this discovery had taken place had been working 24/7 for almost the past month, desperate to get as much data as possible before the announcement.
Now Peterson was having secret trustee meetings where everything was locked down, leaks would be devastating. No one was allowed to use the actual words to describe the breakthrough. It was referred to simply as “the F-word”.
Although secrecy was of the utmost importance, Peterson was rumored to have spoken to the Governor of Utah in late 1988 and told him that his school may soon win a Nobel Prize. On March 13th, 1989 the school filed its first patent.
The first of several. By March 16th, Peterson called an emergency meeting with all their lawyers and the two scientists. Peterson and the lawyers were in agreement. The time was
now. If they waited any longer it would jeopardize the patent applications. The two scientists however are reluctant. But after a long argument, they are slowly swayed.
They realize the gravity of the situation. Years later, Peterson will argue that if they had stood their ground, he wouldn’t have forced them to hold the press conference. And yet the recollection
of another attendee, was that one of the two scientists was on the verge of tears. Whatever the case, the decision had been made. The press conference was scheduled for 1pm Mountain time, March 23rd 1989.
The media was given just a single day advance warning. Campus security is deployed around the chemistry department, locking down access to the basement lab where all of this had started. The room is packed.
TV crews capture the whole thing, which will last for a little over half an hour. This is a moment in history. >> First let’s get the news of that scientific breakthrough at the University of Utah, Brian? >> It’s a late story—thanks
very much Carol and Keith, good afternoon everyone. In about an hour researchers at the University of Utah are scheduled to make an announcement that they revolutionized the way we energize our world. >> Narrator: Chase Peterson and his VP, James
Brophy, welcome the journalists to the talk. Peterson, knowing full well his words will be broadcast across the country, makes sure that everyone knows this discovery happened at his school. >> This university prides itself, whether it be in creative writing or dance or chemistry or genetics or artificial organs, in a
long tradition of intellectual freedom, intellectual excitement, and a willingness to try new ways to solve old problems. Those minds and that knowledge are then dedicated to the benefit of the people of the world generally, and to the cultural and economic well-being of the state of Utah specifically.
>> Narrator: Next, the mic is handed over to our first protagonist, Stanley Pons. >> Well first of all let me thank Dr Peterson and Dr Brophy for the kind introduction, and further for their strong encouragement and support throughout this entire project. The experiment we have accomplished has been
described in the news release which you have and I’ll just give you synopsis, and that it is basically we’ve established a sustained nuclear fusion reaction by means which are considerably simpler than conventional techniques. Deuterium, a component of heavy water, is driven into a metal rod similar—exactly like the one I have in my hand here, under—to such
an extent that fusion between these components, these deuterons, in heavy water fused to form a single—a new atom. And with this process there is a considerable release of energy and we’ve demonstrated that this could be sustained on its own. In other words much more
energy is coming out than we’re putting in. >> Narrator: That was a lot of words, but the most important are these, quote: “sustained nuclear fusion reaction”, and “considerably simpler than conventional techniques”, and then finally “Much more energy is coming out than we’re putting in”.
Pons then turns to his partner, Martin Fleischmann, and asks him if he wants to add anything. >> And he has really described the experiment it is very simple, you drive the deuterons into the lattice, you compress the deuterons in the lattice, and under those circumstances we have
found conditions where fusion takes place and can be sustained indefinitely. Now indefinitely is an emotive word, we have run experiments for hundreds of hours and on our timescale that is a pretty long time. >> Narrator: Again, there’s that phrase. Quote: “Very simple”.
Following this Pons explains why they think this can only be fusion. >> Well first of all the heat that we then measure can only be accounted for by nuclear reactions. The heat is so intense that it cannot be explained by any chemical process that is known.
>> Narrator: They have some additional evidence too. >> The other evidence is of course that we have direct measurements of neutrons by measuring the gamma radiation which builds up in a tank where one of these cells is under operation. We can measure a—have a gamma ray spectrum.
In addition there is a buildup of tritium in the cell which we measure with a scintillation counter. >> Narrator: Radiation. Again, a clear sign that this is a nuclear effect.
>> I would think that it would be reasonable within a short number of years to build a fully operational device that could drive—produce electric power or to drive a steam generator. >> Narrator: Fleischmann quite clearly explains that for every 1 watt they put in, they get 4 watts out.
>> We have run cells now in excess of—generating in excess of 20 watts per cubic centimeter. >> Narrator: In terms of percentages that’s 300% excess heat. This is astounding.
>> If I might just add, it is clear, it has been clear for three or four decades, that the promise of virtually unlimited, radiation free energy is something that is worth spending perhaps billions of dollars on. >> We would also like it to come to the to the benefit of the economy of Utah.
That's not always easy to guarantee because ideas aren't contained by borders, but perhaps ownership and patents are. >> Narrator: The conference has one very brief mention that a peer reviewed paper has been submitted, but is not yet published. If you were
only paying attention to the tone of their voices, you might think that was something as mundane as the renaming of a campus building, not the unveiling of a world changing technology. Rumours leading up the conference said that any number prominent politicians would personally attend, including the President, the Vice President, or UK Prime Minister, although none of these were true.
But the existence of such rumours conveyed just how monumental this announcement was. One politician did make a small appearance. The Utah governor had sent in written statement to be read.
As a devout Mormon, he linked the discovery with the famous words of Brighham Young. “This is the place”. Miracles happen in Utah. It is here where a mythology is
born. This was a rags to riches story. This was the university of Utah. It wasn’t some elite East Coast University, this wasn’t MIT, this wasn’t Harvard, this was two relatively unknown
guys from Utah that had just upended physics. Two pioneers who boldly went against the scientific paradigm, gambling on a risky idea that never should have worked. >> Stan and I thought this experiment was so stupid that we financed it ourselves, and I think it would be fair to say we have burnt up about $100,000 in the process. So it’s not that
cheap and this is just a kitchen experiment, so if you scale it up we could burn up a few million dollars fairly quickly too. >> Stanley Pons and Martin Fleischmann are not remembered in the most positive light today, for reasons you’ll soon come to understand. But
one trap their critics sometimes fall into is underplaying their achievements prior to March 23rd, 1989. I think it’s important to make clear that among their peers, Pons and Fleischmann were well respected, and productive scientists. That’s what makes their fall from grace all the more tragic.
One thing that comes across even in just these short clips, is that Stan Pons is not very comfortable speaking in front of crowds. He stumbles over some of his words, and trails off at the end of sentences. Fleischmann is much more confident, and his jokes get
laughs from the audience multiple times. >> The Rubbermaid basin is for lecture presentations because we want to have the punchline that we paid for it ourselves and we couldn't actually pay for very much. >> Reporter: Basically this has
been described as a kitchen type experiment. How do you feel knowing that you could do in a kitchen what other researchers can do with half a million dollars and large scient- >> It’s a pretty big kitchen. [Audience Laughter] >> Narrator: That confidence comes from experience.
There’s a bit of an age gap between the two men. Fleischmann is 61 here, and Pons is just 46. And while Pons has a solid resume, Fleischmann’s is extensive.
Born in Czechoslovakia, he grew up in the UK and made a name for himself there as a prominent electrochemist. Electrochemistry is a particular niche that’s fairly simply to explain: They study electricity that induces chemical reactions, or chemical reactions that generate electricity.
He was known for his invention of a type of calorimeter, a device used to measure heat with great precision, and he also did some pioneering work with the diffraction of X-rays. In 1986 he was inducted into the UK’s Royal Society, which is essentially a lifetime achievement award in science, placing him among the greats
such as Isacc Newton and Michael Faraday. He was quote: “more innovative than any other electrochemist in the world”. And Marvin Hawkins, the PhD student once said of him: “You meet Fleischmann and you’re going, ‘wow, if I can spend just a month with this guy, I’ll be a god myself.” Fleischmann’s renown as an elder statesman was no doubt a major contributor to why
so many people took the announcement seriously. He would not simply rush out to make a bold claim without plenty of evidence to back it up. Stanley Pons was much more of an unknown, he had taken a more meandering route in his career. Born in North Carolina, he quit academia
for 10 years to work for the family business, before eventually returning to get his PhD in 1975. And he earned it at Southhampton, which is where Fleischmann became his mentor, and eventually his friend. After hopping around a bit, he landed himself a professorship at the
University of Utah. He wasn’t a Mormon, but U of U wasn’t as strict as they were at BYU. Over the course of the 1980s he began publishing more and more papers every year. In 1988 he published a staggering 36 papers.
He even ran his own company, selling homemade lab equipment out of his house. A true “worker bee” his peers called him. U of U must have been impressed, because they made him chair of the chemistry department in 1988.
His grad students knew him to be an introvert, uncomfortable with giving presentations, especially in front of large audiences. But they also spoke highly of him. He was humble, generous, and a good friend once you got to know him.
>> It’s hard to get a feel for what kind of person you are when you see someone on TV a few minutes. He’s a very intensive person. Family and science takes up 97% of his time. >> Reporter: Stan Pons is also very private.
In his world family and science mix, and little else enters the picture. >> Narrator: Despite their age gap the two were genuinely close friends who loved to ski, cook, hike, and throw parties together. >> Reporter: I've heard some
people describe both of you as the odd couple of fusion. He seems to be more outgoing, you’re so private. Does that fit? >> I think so, I think so. >> Narrator: By the mid 1980s
Fleischmann was effectively retired, but he had set up an arrangement where he’d split his time between his labs in the UK, and visiting Pons at U of U as a visiting researcher. The duo’s dynamic was very obvious. Fleischmann was the ideas man, and Pons was the one who tested the ideas out.
Before this historic day, they had published close to 30 papers together. >> Reporter: Fleishmann, who’s based in England, has spent four months each year at the university on the project. In between
both men rack up $400 a month phone bills. >> Chase Peterson told a CBS reporter later that day that this research may win Pons and Fleischmann a Nobel Prize. Although they never actually say these words in the announcement, the world will come to know it as “cold
fusion”. Even if you have no idea what it means, you’ve very likely heard those two iconic words before. Marvin Hawkins, the group’s PhD student, recalls Fleischmann telling him that everything was going to change after that day.
For the better or for worse, he didn’t specify. But Hawkins realized soon that it was going to be for the worse. This press conference should never have happened. Pons and Fleischmann had wanted an extra 18
months before going public. Pressure outside their control had forced their hand. There had been a leak. And so against their better judgment they gave a press conference that doomed their
careers and forever tarnished their reputations. [Singing] >> It would really be a pity, if they blew up Salt Lake City, then we’d know, yeah. >> When it comes to nuclear physics, there are actually two F-words. Fission you’ve definitely heard of.
Splitting the atom. A massive nucleus breaks apart into two, releasing a massive amount of energy. So much energy it could start a chain reaction, leading to an explosion so immense it could
flatten a city in an instant. Nuclear fission changed the course of the 20th century. But its sibling, fusion, is even more powerful. The joining of atoms.
When we divide by the amount of mass used for fuel, fusion beats out fission by a factor of four. All the atoms around you are made up of protons and neutrons. Bundles of particles, protons with a positive charge, and neutrons
with none. The smallest possible nucleus is that of Hydrogen, with just one solitary proton. If you were to take another atom of Hydrogen, and slowly push them closer and closer together, you would find yourself at war with an immense force. The electromagnetic force repels positive
charges away from each other. The closer they get together, the harder it pushes back. But there is a barrier you can surpass. If you were to supply enough force, enough heat, enough pressure,
you can get the protons close enough together, and a new force dominates. The strong nuclear force. At small enough scales it overpowers the electromagnetic force, and the two protons fuse together.
Two atoms of Hydrogen have become one atom of Helium, and this releases a ton of energy, much of it in the form of heat. Self-sustaining fusion has been one of the holy grails of physics since the concept was first theorized in the 1920s. The idea that an initial fusion would release enough energy to kickstart a chain reaction, unleashing more energy than it
took to start the first one. Fusion is all about probabilities. If you have two nuclei close enough together for a long enough period of time, there is always a chance, no matter how infinitesimal, that they will overcome their repulsion and fuse. One way you can increase the odds of fusion is to
add neutrons. This is deuterium. one proton, one neutron. Although it sounds like another element entirely, it is really just a variant of Hydrogen. Heavy hydrogen.
Because neutrons have no charge, they provide a bit of a buffer. It’s much easier to fuse two deuterium atoms than two hydrogen atoms. In the modern day, we try to induce fusion in gigantic reactors called tokamaks, donut-shaped
rooms that trap protons with immense magnetic fields. However, despite our best efforts, the energy we get out is always less than the energy we put in. Self-sustaining fusion has only been observed in two places.
Here’s the first: [Flame sounds] Here’s the second: [Thermonuclear explosion]. An immensely huge ball of gas that warms our planet and grows our crops, and the H-bomb, a device so destructive that if it was used for its original purpose it would doom us to extinction. Sustained hot fusion in a lab would
fundamentally alter our society. But hot fusion was not a widely used term in the 1980s. When physicists spoke of fusion, it was implied that it had to be hot. Of course, that all changed
on March 23rd, 1989. Like any good mythology, the early history of their cold fusion project has varied over the years. Fleischmann has said that they were inspired during a hike in Millcreek canyon.
Later that day they pulled an all-nighter, frantically writing down calculations and sketching out an experiment. >> Should we tell the truth? >> Yeah >> It was in one of our Jack Daniels phases. [Laughter] >> Narrator: According to Fleischmann, their convo went a little like this, Quote: “It’s a billion to one chance, shall we do it?” to which Pons
said: “Let’s have a go”. Fleischmann’s decades long career meant he was familiar with dozens of material systems, and he had done extensive work with palladium. Palladium is a decently rare metal which can absorb surprisingly large amounts of hydrogen.
It was almost like a metal sponge, and he wrote about it in a paper as early as 1948. A palladium lattice can absorb about as 900 times as much hydrogen inside the same volume, and as it fills up it also expands slightly, and the internal pressures increase dramatically. This effect is the same if you swap out hydrogen for
deuterium. Fleischmann’s thinking was that you could load a palladium lattice with so much deuterium that it would compress the atoms so tightly, that some of them could undergo fusion. And all that could be done at room temperature. A colleague at Southampton said that Fleischmann mentioned this idea to him as early as 1974, but it wasn’t until he went to Utah to work
with Pons that he had someone willing to try it out with him. In order to load the palladium with deuterium, they devised the following set up. They take a battery, and hook it up to two electrodes.
One is platinum, and one is palladium. Next, they submerge this into a giant water bath. Except this isn’t regular water, H20, this is heavy water, D20. The hydrogen is replaced
with deuterium. Heavy water is not exactly common, it makes up only about 0.0156% of the Earth’s total water, but for chemists it’s easy to get their hands on. Next, they dissolved some lithium into the heavy water.
Lithium is a conductor, and they plan to run electricity through the water. When the electricity is turned on, the heavy water molecules, D20, are split apart through electrolysis. They separate into oxygen and deuterium.
The oxygen is negatively charged and floats over to the anode, and the deuterium is positively charged and floats over to the palladium cathode. The palladium acts as a sponge, and absorbs the deuterium atoms. And
theoretically, when the palladium is loaded up with as much deuterium as physically possible, fusion might occur. How would they be able to tell though? By measuring the temperature of the water. If the heat energy released was more than the amount of electricity pumped in, that would
be excess heat. A potential new energy source. Although it takes some work to get, the oceans have enough heavy water to last us centuries. Certainly much more renewable than oil or natural gas, and with none of the pollutants. This experiment was not an entirely new idea, however.
In the 1920s, a German group was trying to find a reliable way to produce helium. Following World War I Germany had been banned from importing it, so a reliable way to make it in a lab would be a game changer. They had tried loading palladium up with hydrogen, and saw some evidence of helium.
However this work was fairly obscure, it had been forgotten about for decades, largely because the authors eventually retracted their work. They realized they had made a mistake. The helium they were seeing had been absorbed from the air, and not produced via fusion.
Of course, the neutron wasn’t even discovered until a few years later, and so they wouldn’t have known to use deuterium rather than hydrogen. Fleischmann had heard of this work before, as he briefly overlapped at the same school as one of the authors in the 1950s.
And so, all these years later Fleischmann had taken that general idea, but swapped out hydrogen for deuterium. Pons and Fleischmann said several things in this press conference they will later come to regret. The first was calling
the phenomena a “sustained fusion reaction”. The second, was claiming that the experiment was quote: “very simple”, and implying it would be easy to reproduce. Fleischmann will later say he regrets doing the press conference at all. He knew that by going public like this they were opening themselves up to more scrutiny than they’d ever seen before.
He thinks that Pons may not have realized that at the time. Fleischmann is close to retirement here, and could leave the field any day if he ever chose to. When they write his obituary, cold fusion will be just a paragraph among
several in a long and successful career. Pons though is younger, and with children still in school. He was not prepared for how this would up-end his life. By the end of it he will be left
so defeated that he’ll give up his US citizenship. >> We did it! For the first anywhere- >> A big step forward in a little test tube >> What could be the discovery of the century >> The dawn of a new nuclear age >> They have successfully maintained a nuclear fusion— >> Fusion— >> Fusion— >> Fusion— >> Fusion— >> Fusion— >> Fusion— >> Fusion reaction and generated more energy out, than they put in.
>> It was like an avalanche. There was no news channel you could flip to that wasn’t running a cold fusion story. Most of the initial headlines portrayed the announcement as an
earth shattering discovery that may change physics as we knew it. This was a potential solution to the energy crisis. >> Clean nuclear power. >> Pons: Period.
>> Period. At an affordable price. >> Reporter 1: One cubic foot of sea water contains enough deuterium to produce 250,000 BTU of energy. It would take 10,000 tons
of coal to equal that kind of energy. >>Reporter 2: No more acid rain from burnt coal and other power plants— >>Reporter 3: —and the exhaust of the automobile's internal combustion engine would be a thing of the past. >> Narrator: Nuclear fission
had been become a political nightmare following the Chernobyl disaster, and the Exxonn Valdez oil spill had occurred literally the same day as the announcement. >> The fact is there are a lot of people including the Chase Manhattan Bank who are going to find themselves broke
if oil doesn't stay at $20 a barrel >> The Middle East crisis gets settled just like that because there's nothing to fight over. >> The headlines wrote themselves. Two local papers, the Salt Lake City Tribune, and The Deseret News, would religiously follow
the story with a sense of hometown pride. In the latter case I mean that literally. Deseret News is owned by the Mormon church. Not all reactions were all so positive though.
Many outlets took a more mixed stance. Some were outright skeptical. For some papers it wasn’t even worth a front page story. The New York Times squirreled it away on page 12.
Optimistic, incredulous, there was an entire spectrum of emotions, but everyone was paying attention. There was a distinct 3rd type of reaction that went on largely behind closed doors however. Did this have the
potential to be turned into a weapon? Or if not a weapon, a source of fuel for one? Countries without nuclear weapons programs may have just been handed a golden ticket. Governments around the world scrambled to ask their top scientists their opinions. At the University of Utah things
quickly devolved into a mad house. Following the press conference, Marvin Hawkins led the media through a tour of the lab, explaining the setup. The kitchen comments were bang on. It looked liked something a hobbyist could do in their basement. Car batteries, a Rubbermaid washtub.
All right next to a janitor’s closet. This was certainly not like the hot fusion Tokamaks’ that were the size of entire buildings and cost half a billion dollars to run. News TV crews were wandering the
halls of the University looking for anyone willing to be interviewed. Many had no idea about the experiment, but hey, it was a chance to be on TV! >> What are they doing the experiments and things, I’ve— >> Reporter: Do you know what it is? >> Well I have no idea— >> I really don’t. >> Reporter: What’s your idea? >> Well it’s just—it has to do with energy >> This openness will soon be replaced by the
opposite. U of U will lock down external access to the lab, even covering up some windows. The school’s phones were ringing off the hook. Hundreds of calls a day, from every walk of life.
Politicians like Al Gore called in, offering congratulations. Pons got personal calls from Edward Teller, the controversial father of the hydrogen bomb, and Carlo Rubbia, director of CERN. But they were also flooded with random people looking to invest, or cranks
who wanted to talk about their pet conspiracies. Fleischmann and his wife were quickly assigned a pair of bodyguards to follow them wherever they travelled. Soon, Pons had to change his home phone number, otherwise it would be ringing all night. The attempt to capitalize on the phenomenon
was immediate. The U started selling cold fusion T Shirts. A soda shop down the street had a novelty cold fusion drink. Many researchers, when they first heard of it, were dumbfounded.
Cold fusion was a nonsense concept right? >> It would be the greatest—the most significant technological discovery since man discovered fire >> This had come out of nowhere, if anything you’d expect it out of a place like MIT, or one of the big federal labs like Los Alamos or Oak Ridge. Some didn’t even dare touch the subject.
Quote: “It’s got to be wrong. I’m afraid we’ll look like idiots if we are seen trying this thing”. But on the other hand Pons and Fleischmann were not complete nobodies, they had some level of credibility and they
wouldn’t make an announcement like this without solid proof. And hey, Fleischmann had said that the experiment was very easy to replicate, and the materials were cheap and easy to get. Why not take a week to try and get their own versions going? This was basically just a modified electrolysis
setup. Quite literally something that highschool students do in their chemistry classes. You just needed some palladium, and some heavy water. Those who were quick on the draw were lucky, as soon palladium stock prices were about to spike.
>> Reporter: But in the last two months palladium has been the most profitable mineral. >> I think we ran from about $142 up to $180 at one point in time. >> Narrator: Some groups even managed to
track down Pons and Fleischmann’s supplier, Johnson Matthey. Although their palladium was standard stuff they sold off the shelf, they did start marketing it as quote: “fusion grade”. And so began the cold fusion mania that swept the United States.
But this was not just an American phenomenon, cold fusion had captured the attention of the entire planet. >> But as scientists around the world attempt to recreate the experiment in their own labs, fusion has turned to confusion. >> I’ve logged 63 or 64 laboratories
trying to do the thermal experiment, and I can say honestly that not one of those laboratories is doing it the same way that we did. >> It didn’t take long for them to realize that the announcement lacked a bunch of critical details. Here’s just a short list: What size were the palladium rods? How
are the rods made? Are they machined, or cast? Is the surface of the rod baked, etched, or left alone? How much deuterium needs to be loaded into the rods? How long did it take to load the deuterium? Hours? Days? Weeks? What current should you supply? Should the current change over time? Which electrolyte do you add to the water? Was there any stirring done to the liquid? All legitimate questions that could have a major
impact on the results. Everyone knew that a paper was in the works, but only a select few had managed to see a copy. Most of what people had to go on was a story that evolved into a key part of cold fusion’s mythology. The “meltdown”.
The meltdown is supposedly the first time Pons and Fleischmann saw something that might suggest fusion. Exact dates for this meltdown are inconsistent and hazy. They stretch back as early as late 1984 or early
1985. Why then specifically? Well, notably, it would be the earliest possible time where they could have come up with their experiment, but also late enough that both Pons and Fleischmann had fully left their prior jobs at Southampton and the University of Alberta. Any potential patent
rights would fall only to them, and the University of Utah. According to the mythology, they had been loading a palladium electrode for seven entire months. And then one night Pons had instructed his son Joey, who was working in the lab, to adjust the current running through the cell.
His son did as he was asked, left, and then returned hours later to check on the experiment. What he saw was astounding. A 1cm cube of Palladium, which has a melting point of 1500 degrees,
had fully melted. Exact details, are again, inconsistent. In some versions of the story the rest of the setup melted too, in others it was a mini explosion. In some versions Joey had lowered
the current, in others he had raised it. There is one detail that remains consistent though. There was a hole in the concrete floor 4 inches big. At least one independent source, Pons’ grad student, Kevin Ashley, confirmed that he saw the hole the next day.
Something had generated a shocking amount of heat. So much heat, that it could not have been explained by any chemical reaction. The only logical conclusion, according to Pons and Fleischmann was
that something nuclear had just occurred. And it was stories of this meltdown that supposedly convinced the university that this discovery was genuine, leading to the eventual press conference. And yet, there exists no official University records of this
meltdown from the time it supposedly occurred. Fleischmann, years later, claimed that they covered it up out of fear of having their experiment shut down as a clear fire hazard. But regardless, the meltdown story would be a particular point of fixation among scientists. Because even though the story lacked hard numbers, it still implied them. A 1cm Palladium
cube has a melting point you can estimate, and you can calculate how much energy would be necessary. So does a four inch hole in concrete. Physicists would soon be working backwards from what little info they had. The first week was a mad dash to uncover as much
information as possible. Researchers phoned their friends to brainstorm, faxes of rough drawings and calculations sent out across the country. People even analyzed footage of Pons holding one of his cells and used the size of his wrist to try and guess at the dimensions of the cell. There are even alleged reports that some people managed to crack their way into Pons’ personal
email, hoping to snoop for answers, but found nothing of interest. Back then the internet was still in its infancy, and barely anyone called it that yet. But universities and research labs were some of the first in the world with access to it, making cold fusion one of the first ever
viral news stories. Early bulletin boards hosted daily news updates, and information was spreading faster than it ever could before. Very few people were able to speak with Fleischmann and Pons directly, save for a few of their close friends.
Chuck Martin at Texas A&M had known Pons for years, and had heard a few days beforehand that’d he’d want to keep an eye on the news. Chuck Martin was extremely eager to get his own cold fusion experiment running, and he phoned Pons asking for any tips.
But Pons only gave him cryptic warnings about the potential danger. It seems this was sage advice, as some labs were about to prove. >> The Lawrence Livermore labs got a reaction they did not expect.
Their experiment blew up >> –but the hydrogen gas apparently caused a small explosion which sent shards of glass all over the lab. North Carolina State University scientists earlier suspended their fusion experiment following a small explosion >> Narrator: And Fleischmann had given some friends at Harwell labs an early head start. He’d been shipping them some of their cold
fusion cells throughout March for them to measure. He wanted at least one UK lab to get a head start so the US didn’t get all the glory. It's around this time when the criticism starts to pour in. So far the best sources for hard numbers were newspapers like the
Wallstreet Journal and the Financial Times. >> In all of this what has been the most frustrating thing for you? >> The most frustrating part is not having enough details to replicate the experiment, or trying to get the details out of newspapers. This is not usually the way we do science.
>> Narrator: This whole situation was bizarre. Why had the press conference come before a peer-reviewed paper? For many people that was a major faux pas. >> You know not aware that
we did anything at all wrong, we were very cautious not to say that papers have been accepted anywhere >> Pons and Fleischmann had in fact submitted their paper a couple weeks earlier to the Journal of Electroanalytical Chemistry. And although it hadn’t been published yet, it had been accepted. Where this gets
iffy, is why it was accepted. You see, a couple weeks before the announcement, Pons had received an unrelated call from a friend who was an editor at the journal. Pons and Fleischmann had published often with them before, and Fleischmann was a longtime friend of the managing editor,
Roger Parsons. Parsons, upon hearing that his friends may have the discovery of the century and that they had a tight deadline, tells Pons he’ll push it to be published as soon as possible. Parsons was the only person to review the paper. Pons and Fleischmann had also sent the
paper to the much more prestigious Nature, but they had refused to publish it without a much more careful review. There’s more to that side of the story later. The paper was eventually published on April 8th, but the preprint leaked a little earlier.
Pons have given five copies to friends in Utah. These were quickly faxed and copied across the world so many times that most of the text quickly became unreadable. Except of course the massive stamp that read “confidential”. But even this paper was only eight pages, and had little new that people didn’t
already know. The assumption that many were working on was that Pons and Fleischmann were intentionally withholding details because of patent concerns. Some people even speculated that the cells they showed off on TV were dummies, and that deep in their basement lab they had the
real heavy duty cells hidden. The press release given to the media by U of U’s comm’s department was also devoid of many details. Pam Brogle, the school’s comm’s director, later said that she was actually forced to remove sentences at the request from the University’s legal teams, which she
fiercely disagreed with. And yes, that was teams, plural. She noted there were three separate groups of high powered lawyers, ones from the East coast, West coast, and Texas. She had wanted to
speak to Pons and Fleischmann well in advance, but had only been allowed to just days before the announcement leaving her no time to research. Although the press conference was heavily promoted by the school, the exact topic was not fully revealed beforehand. Despite this,
at least three reporters had managed to get an inside scoop. One of them was Jerry Bishop at the Wall Street Journal. Brogle, who wanted to guarantee coverage from the journal, tells him it’s room temperature fusion.
Despite his initial skepticism, he too ends up making some calls to physicists and pieces together that this story is a major deal. And his headline: TAMING H-BOMBS was certainly not the kind of thing you expect to see in a financial paper. Jerry Bishop’s coverage
of cold fusion is some of the most in depth in the traditional media sphere. He will later win a science writing award from the AIP. However, it should be noted that his award ceremony will be also be boycotted by many physicists. They found his reporting misleading and often
one-sided. Some actually credit Jerry Bishop with popularizing the name cold fusion, because as you’ll see in their written press release, Pons and Fleischmann called their discovery N-fusion. Jerry Bishop did not come up with the term cold fusion on his own however,
and you’ll find out who did a little later on. Nothing was conventional about cold fusion. And it was only going to get weirder from here. By mid April the first reports from other labs began to roll in. Pons and Fleischmann had set the
precedent that if you had a result, you were fine to hold a press conference before you even had a paper published. And that’s what many of these labs did. Called in the media, put on their best suits, and got their 15 minutes of fame.
It’s rare for scientists to get on TV and this might be there only shot. >> Hundreds of laboratories have tried to confirm the Utah experiment. It looks as though Texas A&M won the race
with Georgia Tech a close second. >> We found that there is more energy coming out of this cell than we are putting in. We couldn’t believe it. >> We couldn’t believe it.
>> Reporter: But then another announcement from another school, Georgia Tech. Researcher there duplicated the Utah experiment— >> and this weekend two Hungarian researchers say— >> The University of University of Washington— >> Italian news reports– >> Stanford researchers today— >> Two Mexican scientists say— >> —government project in India. >> Researchers at the University of Florida— >> Swedish physicists said today— >> The University of Minnesota— >> The Los Alamos National
Laboratory in New Mexico— >> Incidentally this brings to more than 60 the number of laboratories that have confirmed at least part of the Utah experiment. >> Over the next few weeks Pons and Fleischmann will be traveling non-stop.
Fleischmann had gone to Europe the day after the announcement and he had given talks at some of the top physics labs on the continent. Harwell in the UK, Erice in Italy, and now CERN in Switzerland. He was filling auditoriums beyond capacity each time.
Pons was just as in demand, and had given talks at U of U, Indiana, and soon, he would give the biggest talk of his life. Cold fusion was such a big deal that nearly every major scientific organization decided to hold emergency sessions entirely dedicated to the subject.
And for a chemist like Pons, there was no bigger stage than the American Chemical Society. They had scheduled a meeting in Dallas on April 12th. They had booked out a basketball stadium, and early registration suggested chemists
all across the country would swarm the event. >> Dr Pons has been escorted around Dallas much the way you would escort around a presidential candidate or even a president himself. Incredible for a chemistry convention, it felt like a Jazz-Lakers seventh game in the playoffs.
I'll tell you one thing it was quite a day. >> Narrator: The first day of the conference the arena has 7000 people in it. Looking back, many call this event the Woodstock of chemistry. As a comparison, the American Physical Society had their own Woodstock event just two years
earlier, when a group had found evidence of high temperature superconductors. That work had won its discoverers the Nobel prize. Every chemist in the country wanted to see their new hero Stanley Pons.
The President of the society opened his talk with a bit of a jab at their rival field of physics. >> Well much has been learned about plasma physics the goal has remained elusive. Now it appears the
chemists may have come to the rescue. [Massive applause] >> Narrator: Although intended as a lighthearted comment, it cut to a real feeling among chemists. The physics community was still extremely pessimistic.
Many of them had ties to traditional, hot fusion research. Cold fusion would certainly disrupt their funding, and so they’d have an incentive criticize it. The energy in the room was electric. Right as Pons is being introduced the MC takes a
moment to announce some breaking news. >> Before I have Stanley come on up, I'd like to comment we were just informed before we came on that a Dallas radio station has reported that the University of Moscow has just announced that it has successfully repeated the Pons-Fleischmann experiment.
[Applause] >> Narrator: History is being made during the event itself. As for Pons, he’s clearly more comfortable now than he was in Utah. He opens with a joke.
>> It’s incredible to me what an electrochemist has to do today to get an invitation to the American Chemical Society. [Audience laughter] >> Narrator: Most of his talk is just him going over the experiment. But, he finds time for another joke.
>> Next slide is a photograph of the U1 Utah tokamak. [Audience laughter] >> Narrator: It’s a clear flex. Hot fusion tokamaks are the size of entire rooms, and weigh tonnes.
His can sit in a Tupperware container. The applause he gets at the end is what you’d expect a rock star to get at the end of a concert. >> Pons: Thank you very much.
[Massive applause] >> Narrator: During the Q&A one of the audience members asks Pons a question: “Prometheus, Pandora, or Piltdown man?”. Three options for how this could turn out. Was this like stealing fire from the gods? Was it like unleashing a curse
upon mankind that could not be undone? Or was it simply a hoax? Pons’ response was short: “No comment”. Meanwhile, Pons and Fleischmann were not the only two who’d had a busy couple weeks. Chase Peterson, not wanting to waste the momentum of the publicity, flew out his team and personally visited the Utah Governor at his vacation house. The Governor could tell they weren’t just there
for pleasantries, and asked them point blank how much money they wanted. When they say around two or three million, he hits back with five. >> We we hold a special session of the legislature with one item on the agenda.
That item will be to deal with the $5 million appropriation— >> Narrator: A state senator, Eldon Money, even suggested a proposal where Utah residents could donate to the research and receive tax cuts in return. >> Some believe it will do for Utah
what gambling does for Nevada. With so much money coming in, who needs taxes? >> Reporter: results show that 60% of those who called thought taxpayers should pay for the research. 40% said no, taxpayers should not.
>>Narrator: On April 7th the Utah legislature will vote 97-3 to approve the $5 million. >> But it’s kinda like politics, they’re certainly generating a lot of heat. >> Narrator: During the session the governor
paraphrased the bible when expressing his support: “He that doeth nothing is damned, and I don't want to be damned.” This was an energy source so plentiful, it would be quote: “too cheap to meter”. Most of this $5 million would presumably go to some sort of research institute, although almost immediately half a million is allocated entirely to the army of
patent lawyers. Who would run this institute? Surely the competition would be fierce. The earliest rumour was James Fletcher, who had just retired as head of NASA. A perfect fit, given he was a Mormon from Utah.
This appointment would not pan out though, but it did show just how much interest was being generated. The eventual name would be the National Cold Fusion Institute. Of course looking at that name, it implies at least some sort of collaboration with the rest of the country. Washington was absolutely paying attention to
cold fusion, and things were already in motion. [Music] >> On April 13th Glenn Seaborg got a phone call in a California diner. It’s from Washington. He needs to take a flight there, because it’s urgent.
This is not the first time he’s done this. He’s a well respected veteran in nuclear science. In a few years he’ll get a chemical element named after him. He’s been a personal scientific advisor to a half dozen US Presidents.
And George Bush wants his opinion on cold fusion. When he gets there, he tells Bush, his chief of staff, and Secretary of Energy James Watkins his honest opinion: This wasn’t going to be anything. >> There wasn’t enough evidence there to convince
me, and I’m not convinced. Everybody knows about it, nearly everybody is talking about it, but most of the people I’ve talked to are not buying it. >> But at the same time you couldn’t just declare it wrong.
The world was paying attention, cold fusion looked like a solution to the energy crisis. If you are going to evaluate this, you need to do it slowly. Make a panel, have them visit the labs, and write a big report. Don’t rush it out.
Secretary Watkins orders a dozen of the country’s national labs to start working on cold fusion. And none of this secrecy business. If there’s confirmation, he wants to know immediately.
This was not the only major development in Washington that month. >> This is not a science project, this is an American project quite frankly and a Utah project. >> So I couldn't agree with you more
and I think we ought to jump right on it and not let anybody else steal this thing >> The last 20 years are full of American inventions and Japanese promotion we'd like to have both opportunities >> In the House, the Science Space and Technology Committee held a hearing on April 26th. With 42 members it is one of the largest committees in the House, and that day there was full attendance.
The opening remarks are full of pomp and circumstance. >> Morning ladies and gentlemen, in recent weeks an atmosphere of high excitement and anticipation has permeated the scientific community as startling possibilities for sustained nuclear fusion reactions at room temperature have emerged.
The potential implications of a scientific break breakthrough that can produce cold fusion are at the least in our judgment spectacular. >> We all want this to work. Energy is the lifeblood of our nation and fusion energy would be an enormous step
toward the goal of energy independence. >> In a period when our news seems to be filled with items telling us about drugs, budget deficits, decline in America's economic position, and environmental problems, the news of the possible discovery of cold fusion in Utah with its accompanying—even with its
accompanying controversy was wonderful news. >>Narrator: Wayne Owens, congressman from Utah, was eager to introduce the distinguished guests from his home state. >> The possible achievement of solid state fusion, or the so-called “cold fusion” is nothing less than a miracle.
>> Narrator: Later he would make plans for a trip with his fellow committee members to go visit U of U and see cold fusion with their own eyes. The first guest to speak is Stanley Pons, clearly quite humbled and honoured to be speaking in congress.
>> Robert Roe: The one thing about those microphones is they're not very good so you have to pull them closer. >> Ok, thank you very much. [Laughter] >> Chairman first we would like to thank you and the committee for the opportunity to testify here today.
>> Narrator: He starts us off with a fairly in depth with the nitty gritty technical details. He has a slideshow that lasts for nearly 15 minutes. Fleischmann is up next, and does what he does best, giving
a digestible big picture view, and speculates about how this could be applied. Notably, he says something interesting here. >> Now the experiment which Professor Pons has described to you is superficially simple, but is actually quite difficult to carry out because you have to go through a process of optimizing the experiment such that you
will make a significant observation. >> Narrator: This is in contrast to the initial press conference, where he said it was, and I quote: “very simple.” Although most of the politicians in attendance were enraptured, some of them asked the occasional tough question.
>> I must say Mr chairman the process so far by which we've learned about this has been more confusion than cold fusion, and there seems to be a feeling about that, the process has been more driven by a wish to protect future potential profits than it has been adherence to normal peer-review processes. >> The public release of the information prior to the publication in a journal, and
the fact that the lack of data seems to have inhibited the replication of your results in most cases where it's been tried. >> In chemistry it is generally the situation that when you have submitted a paper and the paper is accepted, which was the case in in our case, then it is okay to make an announcement. I think that the problem we've had is that
physicists don't do things exactly the same way. >> Narrator: Pons is correct in saying that their paper was accepted, but he’s not being entirely honest here about the peer-review. And as for the lack of experimental details,
Fleischmann hits back with this: >> We admit that there were not the experimental details there, but in a preliminary note there never are these experimental details, and we do now have fax machines and telephones which would allow people to request that information from us and those that have we have given them that advice.
I reject that particular criticism. >> Indeed, many scientists had been calling the two men non-stop asking for details. However, you either had to be extremely lucky, or one of their close friends, to actually get a response. Fleischmann plays
the diplomat very well here. He makes it clear he does not want money taken away from hot fusion researchers. He does not want to make any unnecessary enemies. When he’s asked how much
he thinks scaling up this technology might cost, he is careful to avoid giving an exact number. Rather, he passes that particular hot potato to Chase Peterson, who has brought with him a high profile lobbyist, Ira Magaziner. Together, they made their hail mary pitch to all 42 members of the committee, who listened intently.
>> The figure that comes to mind is $25 million from the federal government. Maybe that needs to be $125 million someday but that's not of any importance right now, $25 million would allow us to start the onion growing with state and private sources. >> Narrator: $25 million, at the low end.
$125 million at the high end. That is a big ask. Peterson also, in vague terms, alluded to potential national defense concerns about the research. Although cold fusion was not
a bomb, fusion was known to produce tritium, a radioactive isotope that is used in making bombs. A reliable way to generate tritium would certainly be of use to the US army. Ira Magaziner tapped into the political fears of the period, and described a scenario where Japan, their
fearsome economic rival, would swoop in and steal cold fusion from them just like they had with electronics and automobiles. >> You know we have consulted in Japan, we've consulted with Japanese companies in the past, and we understand the kind of effort that the Japanese are now devoting to this discovery even before they’ve replicated.
>> Narrator: This was an existential threat that meant they had to act now to fend it off. The total hearing is five hours long, and much of it is dry. As the University of Utah group departed, so did many of the representatives.
Most of them simply don’t want to stay to listen to the much more skeptical witnesses. Of the other speakers that day, by far the most interesting was the group from Brigham Young University. The
rival school to the University of Utah just 40 miles down the road. And representing them was a soft spoken physicist named Steven Jones. And he was singing a very different tune than Pons and Fleischmann.
He didn’t think that cold fusion was worth dumping millions into. At least not yet. He had even brought along a prop to help him explain. >> Now this is a tender shoot as you can
tell. It is difficult to say what it will become. Some think, and suggest strongly, that this is a tree and it will grow up very quickly and provide us enough wood for all our energy needs for generations. I do not think it is.
I think adding too much fertilizer at this stage will be detrimental. I think we need to give it time, at least a couple of months please, to see whether this is something that's a rose or a tree. If it should turn out to be a rose we can then admire it for its beauty even if
we are a bit disappointed it was not a tree. >>Narrator: And by that he meant, this is a new unexplored bit of physics, and that is worth studying, but a miracle energy source this was not. To hammer home the point, he made a comparison that the
politicians could easily understand. >> On the other hand I heard Mr Jones say that the difference between that experiment and commercial productivity, was the difference between a dollar and the national debt. >> For a room of politicians who
had just been asked for $25 million, it made a compelling case. But why had he, of all people, been invited? Who even is Steven Jones? Well, Steven Jones is the reason any of this was happening at all. What he isn’t telling the committee here, is that he
feels Pons and Fleischmann have fucked him over. Because what he’s claiming…is that he is the inventor of cold fusion. [Music] >> Narrator: Steven Jones is a soft spoken man.
He’s just spent the better part of an hour speaking to a room full of Washington politicians about his work in cold fusion. He comes off as humble, downplaying his work as a nuclear physicist. Like most professors at Brigham Young University, he is a devout Mormon.
Most of his colleagues know him to be trustworthy, honorable, some might even call him a boy scout. And it was almost certainly burning him up inside that for the past month, Stanley Pons and Martin Fleischmann had been accusing him of stealing their work.
[Music] Stanley Pons and Martin Fleischmann are remembered as the fathers of cold fusion, for better or for worse, and that’s because they went public in a now infamous press conference on March 23rd, 1989. And one month out from that, they were asking congress for $25 million. As Fleischmann mentioned in their announcement, he and Pons had funded
their experiment with $100k of their own money, and they had no other financial support. But what he didn’t say is that in the year before they went public, they did try to get external funding. And that process had set off a domino effect that resulted in a leak, and was ultimately the reason they had went public an entire year and a half before they intended to.
Through much of the 1980s Pons had been funding his work through grants awarded by the Office of Naval Research. But when he approached them about his cold fusion research they didn’t think it was a good fit. After some
shuffling around, Pons resubmitted to the Office of Advanced Energy Projects at the Department of Energy. The office had a bit of a reputation as the office of Hail Mary’s. Its administrator, Richard Gajewski, once called it the home of “orphans and infants”.
What he meant by that was his office was the last chance for projects that were considered too crazy for other departments. Pie in the sky pitches that still deserved at least a little bit of funding. Gajewski had a lot of power in this office, and he liked to pick favorites.
As it happened, one of his longest running funding programs was for a professor at BYU. Steven Jones. Jones was one of the experts in a niche area called muon catalyzed fusion.
A muon is a particle similar to an electron, it’s just 207 times as massive. A muon can replace an electron orbiting a nucleus of deuterium. Because a muon is so much heavier, its orbital radius is almost 200 times as small.
This allows two atoms to sit much closer together, which vastly increases the odds of fusion. Muon catalyzed fusion can, and often does occur at room temperature. After it was first demonstrated in 1956, for about a decade researchers scrambled to perfect it, hoping that it would unlock
an immense new energy source. And in fact, a New York Times article from 1956 even referred to it as quote: “cold fusion.” The issue, is that the numbers just weren’t there. It wasn’t frequent enough to sustain itself as an energy source.
But the concept never fully died. Steve Jones at BYU was one of its true believers. Gajewski clearly took a shine to him. He’d funded Jones for 6 years
now, giving him around $250k a year by 1988. It was a strong show of faith, but Jones knew his clock was ticking. Gajewski was getting pressure from his bosses to call it quits on Jones’ work. Muon catalyzed fusion was as dead now as it was 30 years earlier.
He needed to pivot. Inspiration came in September 1988 when Gajewski sent Jones a proposal. The title was: “The Behavior of Electrochemically Compressed Hydrogen and Deuterium”.
And it was submitted by Stanley Pons and Martin Fleischmann. Jones was intended to act as a neutral referee, one of five. The proposal was confidential.
The cover specifically mentioned quote: “to use the information contained in the proposal for evaluation purposes only.” You can probably guess where this is going. Later, Jones and BYU’s legal team would release a detailed timeline of his research on fusion, supported by pages and pages from Jones’ own notebook.
>> Reporter: BYU has documents such as these lab notebooks showing their work goes back to at least 1986. >> Narrator: And if you watch his testimony in congress, he will hammer home the point that he’d been working on this for years.
>> Deuterium into metals is going to lead to fusion which we had in early ‘86. I should say by the way that this has been funded by this same advanced energy project, this particular idea cold nuclear fusion since ‘86.
We pioneered that in May of 1986. >> Jones has claimed that while his primary focus had been muon catalyzed fusion, he had spent some time and funding working on more traditional fusion work like that of Pons and Fleischmann, even before he saw their proposal.
And this is technically true. In March 1986, Jones had a chance run in with a geophysicist, Paul Palmer, who had an idea that fusion can take place within the earth via extreme pressure. They began to spitball the idea of piezo-nuclear fusion.
Piezo means pressure in Latin. In a memo, dated April 1st 1986, Jones wrote: "Could it be that metal hydrides provide an environment conducive to confinement and fusion of hydrogen isotopes? And on April 7th, Jones, although he never actually uses the word “electrolysis”, he does write down several
different metals. Among them is palladium. In one of his annual updates to Gajewski, he mentioned this piezo-nuclear fusion idea. Two of Jones’s graduate students in May 1986 began experiments
where they would load hydrogen into metals via electrolysis. But after months of attempts, nothing useful came of the experiments, and in September they abandoned the idea. The most they got out of it was two term papers.
And so, if we want to be lawyers about it, Jones’s group did, independent from Pons and Fleischmann, come up with a cold fusion concept as early as 1986. But they soon put the idea on a 2 year long hiatus. Jones’ later explanation for the hiatus is that
they were waiting on a colleague to build an ultra sensitive detector that would allow them to continue the experiments. This detector was indeed finished around August of 1988. And we know, from Jones’ own notebook, that he assembled his team for a meeting on August 24th, and they discuss restarting the fusion project.
But then, and this is where it gets a little suspect, his notebook has a 29 day gap where he does not mention the fusion project. And then finally, he notes on September 20th that he received the Pons and Fleischmann proposal from Gajewski.
It is only after this point that his group begins to start up experiments again. The whole saga is full of coincidences, both in timing, and in location. What are the odds that it’s two Utah labs, just 40 miles apart,
that would be racing to unlock the secrets of fusion? What we do know for sure, is that Jones and his team jumped into action only after they had read Pons and Fleischmann’s proposal, at a time when his funding was on the verge of ending. And so by late September his group was starting up experiments, and Jones wrote back to Gajewski that the proposal should be rejected.
Or at least, he needed some clarifications first. And so he begins to write to them anonymously. To Pons and Fleischmann, here is an anonymous reviewer asking very basic questions, clearly of the opinion that this experiment won’t work. Only when they had shared enough details for him to replicate the experiment in its entirety did he change his tune and give it the thumbs up.
Pons and Fleischmann had managed to guess that the reviewer was Jones because one of his critiques was that they hadn’t cited a 1986 paper by him. And then one day, Gajewski phones up Pons and suggests that since Jones had worked on similar stuff before, they maybe work out a collaboration. From the perspective of Pons and Fleischmann, this was outrageous.
Pons had refused to talk about this project to anyone outside Fleischmann or his own family for years, and now as soon as they submit a grant application they had a physicist trying to force himself onto their paper. Although Pons and Jones have a friendly phone conversation, deep down Pons feels like their work has been
stolen. Pons tells the patent officer at U of U they may have a legal dispute on their hands, and he makes a call to a childhood friend. Gary Triggs grew up with Pons in North Carolina.
He was a charming country lawyer who was not afraid to get his hands dirty. When the dispute with Jones’ group began to heat up, Pons had Triggs fly in to town to help him restrategize. Triggs also acted as a confidant, one of the few people Pons trusted
without question. Even before cold fusion, Pons had used Triggs as an attack dog when he got into some hot water. At least two prior collaborations involving Dow Chemical and Synthetech used Pons as a researcher.
When those companies couldn’t reproduce his results, they asked for his data. Pons blocked them by getting Triggs to send cease and desist letters. One of Triggs’ first acts in the cold fusion saga was to have Pons call up Gajewski, and tried to get
him to admit to manufacturing this whole mess to help out his buddy Jones. If he said anything incriminating, they never did anything with it. Both groups go into overdrive trying to gather data in a race to get their paper out first. The U of U group is working 24/7, swapping out
in shifts. The dispute begins to boil over around February when Gajewski tells Pons that he’s putting a freeze on their funding until the dispute is resolved. They’ve now lost all trust in Gajewski.
They start to become paranoid. Both groups escalate the issue to the heads of their respective schools. Both the U of U and BYU administrations take over the negotiations. They arrange for sit down talks, the U of U team visits BYU and tour the lab on February 23rd.
Jones’ team is impressed by how well made Pons and Fleischmann’s cells are, and Pons and Fleischmann are impressed by BYU’s radiation detector. But Jones tells them that he’s been at this for two years and he wants to publish now. Pons and Fleischmann beg him for 18 more months.
They need more time. But Jones says he can’t wait. He agrees to cancel a talk later that week, but he’s been scheduled to speak at a major conference in May, the American Physical Society.
“Can’t you present something else?” they asked him. No, he says he can’t. He already submitted an abstract, and in it he mentions cold fusion.
He’s given them a no win scenario. Pons and Fleischmann are at a loss. The final negotiation is an agreement to publish back to back submissions to the same journal.
After some debate, they agree on Nature, one of the most prestigious in the world. At the end of the meeting, both sides shook hands, but no paper had been signed. Nothing written had cemented the deal.
Neither side was happy, and any pleasantries were just performances. Reportedly by the time Pons and Fleischmann had walked back to their cars, they were calling Jones a thief. What if one of the papers got rejected and the other accepted? That paper would get all the credit.
They believe there is only the nuclear option left. Go public immediately. >> Reporter: BYU fusion researcher Steven Jones says the U breached an agreement with Brigham Young University by announcing its
fusion discovery to the media last month. Jones says the two universities had agreed to announce their separate findings simultaneously. >> There was no commitment, no promise of any sort that we wouldn't go public >> Around March 13th Jones gets the feeling that Pons and Fleischmann are going to screw him over. He phones them, and they tell him something
that is either quote: “a threat or a warning”, he can’t tell which. And so they hold their press conference on March 23rd without any heads up to BYU. At the press conference a reporter asks if they are aware of any other group doing similar work.
VP of research James Brophy takes the mic. He says he wasn’t aware of any other group, something he knows for a fact is a lie. >> And with fusion coming to
the forefront the big rivalry between BYU and the University of Utah is no longer over football. >> Okay so now what's the deal here? Is it because somebody stole it? The guy, the profess— >> BYU says that we were working on it together and that he came out first so he could get all of the publicity.
>> Imagine that. >> Fleischmann and Pons will go on to say many years later that they did not name their discovery cold fusion. That it was Steve Jones who was responsible for that.
A couple weeks later in Italy, Fleischmann and Jones will have a private conversation in the hall. Reportedly, Fleischmann will apologize for how things got out of hand, but you can’t put that cat back in the bag. By going public early, they had doomed their
careers. Jones had found out about the betrayal when the Financial Times called him asking for comment. Jones was furious, but he feels a sense of relief at the same time. Knowing he’s been
betrayed rather than waiting for it is almost freeing. He goes on vacation with his family for the Easter weekend. They mail the paper to Nature as soon as possible. No one from his team will be
going to the airport on March 24th to meet with Marvin Hawkins. And that leads us back to where we started. Marvin Hawkins, Pons’ PhD student, clutching an envelope in a FedEx at the airport. A TV crew is there to film the meeting that won’t be taking place.
He’ll end up submitting the paper and going home. Hawkins name didn’t make it into the history books the same way Pons and Fleischmann’s did. He’s not a protagonist, but his story is still worth telling.
Marvin Hawkins was 27 here. In the fall of 1988 he was pretty much wrapped up with his PhD work. The only thing left for him to graduate was to write his thesis. If he focused on writing he’d
be out in just a couple months. It was in his best interest to try and get it done sooner rather than later, because after all, he was the sole source of income for a family of five. He had taken a two year break from school for his Mormon missionary work, so he was a bit behind his academic peers.
He needed a decent paying job. But in October of 1988, Stanley Pons, chair of the chemistry department, approached him with an offer. He was working on an incredibly interesting fusion experiment. Well actually it was more than interesting, it
sounded ground breaking. The sort of thing that could win a Nobel prize. It would certainly delay his graduation, and it wouldn’t pay him very much, just $10k a year, but Marvin recognized it as the once in a career opportunity that it was.
And to work with Martin Fleischmann too? When it came to chemistry that man was a god. Stanley Pons was a secretive man. Outside his family and his mentor Fleischmann, he’d barely told anyone about this. His wife
worked as his secretary. And up until August he’d had his son Joey run most of the experiments, but he was getting married that month and left the lab. With a vacancy to fill, Pons approached Marvin.
Part of why he chose Marvin was that he knew he could set up experiments on his own. He wouldn’t need outside help. Fewer chances for a leak. Marvin worked for months, and to hear him tell it, without much help from Pons and Fleischmann, on developing
the cells that would soon become world famous. >> Reporter: Does every one you build now work? >> Uh, no. You know, as with any scientific endeavor, you've got some buildup, some mistakes, some reevaluation, some new processes that you want to incorporate >> As January turned into February, it was clear
to him that Pons’ group was in a race with someone at BYU. Whoever published first was guaranteed to make it into the history books. And whoever was second might, if they were lucky, get a single mention at the end of a long paragraph.
They began to pull 24/7 shifts. Quote: “There were times where I would go home for three or four hours and sleep, and then get up and go back. And that happened for a month and a half—no weekends, no nothing.
Your kids kind of tend to wonder who you are.” Jamie Hawkins, Marvin's wife of five years, said simply: “It brought on a whole new meaning of the term widow. Having Marvin away from home was difficult.” Jamie said “But we could see it was for a great purpose, so that made it a little easier to deal with.” Quote: “Obviously it's been
very stressful on her. She's been very supportive. She's even come in from time to time and helped me collect data just to try and maintain some kind of relationship. It’s not been horrible, but it’s been hard.” His kids missed him at home. Their daughter was old enough to understand it was
important for her daddy’s job, but their younger son was emotional. Pons seemed to recognize what a sacrifice Marvin was making, especially as a young father. Quote: “Stan would call me numerous times and say, ‘Jamie I'm sorry that Marvin's never home, but realize soon Hawkins’, Pons’
and Fleischmann’s names will be in the lights.’” Hawkin’s name never made it on to the paper. Two days before the announcement Pons gives him the bad news. The school, for legal reasons, thinks its better if it’s just him and Fleischmann on the paper. Marvin is devastated.
In the couple days after the March 23rd announcement, the energy around the Utah campus was frantic. News crews were everywhere, and everyone wanted to catch a glimpse of the famous cold fusion cells. Someone had also allegedly stolen the transparencies Pons and Fleischmann had used
in their press conference. And the day after the announcement Fleischmann took a plane back to Europe, where he’d be for a few weeks. Now that meant Pons had been left alone in Utah without his mentor, and receiving more public attention than he’d ever had in his entire life.
Phone calls were ringing all hours of the day. News crews wanted to interview him. His email account got hacked. They had to change his home phone number to stop the ringing.
In a profile for the Deseret news, Pons described himself with one word: “Scared.” >> Tensions can get very high, emotions can get absolutely destroyed >> Reporter: That’s a lot of pressure. >> It's not that much more. For me he's the
same guy. The kids say yeah there's dad on TV and they run on and play. We don't know when we're going to have dinner, people want to talk all the time. We always
say we're normal, we're still the same as ever. >> Soon, a mysterious man from MIT would roll up uninvited and began asking questions. He only left when Pons tried to contact security. With all
this context in mind, Pons realizes on March 26th that some of his lab books were missing. With Fleischmann gone, the only other person who could have the notes was Marvin Hawkins. And so, Pons calls up another grad student, Mark Anderson, and asks him to take over a bit of the work from
Marvin Hawkins. Here is where it gets odd. Hawkins attests that Pons and Fleischmann asked him make a copy of the notebooks and protect the original. And so he did that, making copies and then putting the originals in his brother’s safety deposit box. After weeks of endless hours stuck in the lab,
Hawkins and his family go on a ski trip for the holiday weekend, which Pons had supposedly offered to pay for. On Monday the 27th Pons calls Hawkins and urgently tells him he needs the notebooks that day. It’s not much of a leap for Pons to assume that Hawkins is upset with his name being
left off the paper, and that he may have taken the notes for leverage. Unaware that Pons suspects him of anything nefarious, Marvin leaves the ski trip and drives into Salt Lake City to drop off the photocopies of the notebooks, and then returns back to his family vacation. But Pons is not happy with just the photocopies, and when Marvin checks in via the phone, Pons
tells him he needs the originals right now. He essentially accuses him of stealing the notebooks. Pons and Hawkins stories contradict each other quite a bit here. Pons claims he got a call from the Mormon church saying the notebooks were with them, and he should come pick them up.
He alleges that Hawkins tried to sell the notebooks for millions of dollars, or as some sort of religious donation. When Hawkins returned to the lab, Pons threatened to send the police after him. Eventually Hawkins returns the notebooks, realizes he's been replaced, and leaves for his vacation
a third time but in a significantly worse mood. And finally on April 4th he receives a letter from Stanley Pons. He’s been fired. Hawkins immediately goes to the administration and says
he’ll go to the media if they don’t rectify the situation. He even calls Fleischmann, who tells him he’ll try and talk some sense into Stan. A day later Pons and Hawkins sit down and have a meeting with two neutral third parties, in it they agree that Hawkins should
be allowed to finish his thesis, and his name will appear on the paper in the form of an errata. Marvin Hawkins, despite everything Pons put him through, still defends him to this day. Forgetting to add an author to a paper, especially when there are only three total, is not a very common mistake.
When the errata was published it raised eyebrows across the field. But it was not even the most suspicious correction. A small detail, easy to miss, suggested something deeply wrong about the science. A mistake so
fundamental, that some would accuse them of fraud. When Stanley Pons addressed a crowd of 7000 chemists at a stadium in Dallas, he was their rockstar. He had delivered not just a win to the field of chemistry, but he had done what so many physicists had
been failing to do for decades. Chemistry and physics are sibling fields, and they go hand in hand. But the scientists who study them naturally develop rivalries. And so to
their peers, Pons and Fleischmann were heroes, but to the physicists, they were tourists. A pair of overconfident hucksters messing with things they didn’t fully understand. Fritz Will, former president of the Electrochemical Society, recounted a story where a Nobel laureate
of physics told him quote: “Fritz, if cold fusion were ever to be discovered, it wouldn’t be discovered by a chemist.” >> If you look at the confirmations they come principally from electrochemists rather than from physicists, if you look at the negative criticism they come principally from physicists. >> After people have been studying
these reactions for 50 years, and they really have, that somebody at Utah you know happens to stumble across a previously unseen low energy reaction, the odds are pretty small. >> Narrator: Even worse in their eyes, was that Pons and Fleischmann had committed two major transgressions.
The first was that they had gone to Washington and begged for money from congress, a blatant attempt to skip over the usual peer reviewed budgetary process. The second was jumping the gun with a press conference before they published a paper.
>> And frankly we're getting a little bit tired of having science done by news conference. >> I wonder where your greatest responsibility is? Is it to the general public through a press conference, or is it to the scientific community? And I submit that is the case that the public
had a right to know as soon as possible. >> But if most physicists were caught off guard, none were more shocked than the physicists working next door to Pons and Fleischmann at University of Utah. You would think that at least one of them, hopefully a specialist in nuclear science,
would have been asked their opinion, but no! Chase Peterson’s mandate of secrecy meant that he really only consulted with two physicists. His VP James Brophy, an administrator who hadn’t done research in years, and a distant relative, Hans Bethe over at Cornell. When some of those physics
profs attempted to speak to Pons directly, they found him in his office swamped with calls. They were getting messages from physics departments all across the country with the assumption that they had seen and signed off on Pons and Fleischmann’s work. They hadn’t even seen the paper yet! Now
their credibility was on the line despite having nothing to do with the work. They were not afraid to tell the local news exactly how they felt. >> Before you commit yourself publicly and make a big hoopla about it, that you still do the critical work necessary
to make sure you're absolutely certain. >> News Anchor: They say they're embarrassed by last Thursday's announcement to the world before scientific peer review has had a chance to decide whether this really is, or is not a breakthrough. >> Narrator: But even when the paper
eventually got published on April 8th, many physicists were shocked by its quality. >> The nuclear physics part of the program was not done in a very careful way. >> The papers that were written by both groups were papers that had they been written by my graduate
student I would not have let them publish it. I would have said go back to the laboratory and finish the job. >> The text had several errors and contradictions all of which suggested to experienced scientists that the paper had been prepared in a rush.
Although both clearly intelligent chemists, the general consensus was that Pons and Fleischmann had waded into an area way outside their expertise. Whatever their conclusions, they were almost certainly the result of several blunders. Many physicists didn’t even bother
reading the paper. They knew for a fact this couldn’t be fusion for one very simple reason: They were still alive. Their skin hadn’t been irradiated to a crisp. The fusion of two deuterium
atoms has been studied since the 1920s, and is one of the most well understood nuclear reactions we know. As soon as fusion happens, you get an excited helium nucleus with two protons and two neutrons. But it only lasts for a moment, because it’s unstable, and will end up decaying into one
of three radiation branches. In the first branch the helium loses a neutron and sends it flying. In the second, the helium loses a proton, which leaves an atom of hydrogen with two neutrons. This isotope has its own unique name, tritium. The first two branches occur approximately 50% of
the time, they’re evenly split. The third branch is the most rare, with less than a half a percent chance. It stays as a helium-4 atom but it ejects a super high energy gamma ray as a photon. All
three of these branches produce one high energy radiation particle, either a neutron, tritium, or a gamma ray. In other words, you cannot have heat, without radiation alongside it. And remember, according to Fleischmann, they saw 4 Watts for every 1 Watt they put in.
A single fusion reaction would produce about 1 trillionth of a watt. Meaning, to generate 4 watts, as claimed by Fleischmann, that would be around 2.5 trillion neutrons per second. More than enough to burn the
skin off your body. So that begs the question, how many neutrons did they see? Well in their paper they reported just 4000 per second. 1 billion times too low. An amount so low you’d basically
feel no adverse health effects. This issue became known by physicists as: the dead grad student problem. The problem, was that there wasn’t one. If Pons and Fleischmann had spoken to even one physicist at their school, they would have pointed this issue out immediately.
But through a combination of overconfidence, ignorance, and their desire for complete secrecy, they didn’t ask any of their U of U peers. This is far from the only neutron number that they’ve shared. At his talk in Dallas, Pons mentioned a figure of 10,000 neutrons
per second. And when Pons and Fleischmann recounted their mythical meltdown, they can’t get their story straight at all. Fleischmann once said the meltdown produced quote: “no untoward radiation”. And Pons said there was no noticeable radiation detected.
And then even later they gave a third version, where he said the lab was quote “contaminated”. Okay so then which is it? No matter the number, there were anywhere from 1, to 10 billion times fewer neutrons than they should expect. Orders of magnitude upon orders of magnitude. Their
method for establishing the background level of radiation was not exactly reliable either. Pons and Fleischmann observed that their neutrons had no clear pattern. They appeared randomly in bursts. But all around us, cosmic rays from outer space result in small random bursts of neutrons
all the time. That is background radiation. A lab underground will have a lower background than one above ground, and even air pressure can have a huge impact. Apparently, to get their background level they took two measurements, one right next to their cell, and then
at a spot 50 meters away. This is not a useful background test because the location is completely different. They should have instead measured the background at the same location, once with the cell removed or turned off.
Why were they being so vague with their numbers? Well because they don’t usually do this sort of work, they had to borrow a neutron detector. The thing is, the one they borrowed was a medical device, and so was normally used to measure large radiation spikes that might cause a health risk.
It’s really inaccurate for the low levels they were reporting. And the thing is, they seemed to recognize all these issues. They knew their readings were far too low. They say it in the initial press conference. >> We have a relatively low rate of production
of neutrons. Generation rate of generation of tritium and the rate of generation of helium-3 is only 1 billionth of what you would expect if the fusion reactions were those experienced in high energy physics. >>Narrator: But of course, the media covering
the story would not have picked up on just how significant that detail was. Even the not-dead grad student himself, Marvin Hawkins, acknowledged this issue as early as April 14th. This is a damning admission. It shows that they were not seeing what theory predicted, but
rather than assume they had made a mistake, they made a huge leap in logic, and ran with the idea that maybe the theory wasn’t fully correct. >> Theories are made to explain experimental data. We have the experimental data and we see no theory for it yet, so they're
going to have to rethink some things. >> That means there's some additional physics going on in the material that we do not yet understand. >> Reporter: Could it possibly mean there's a mistake? >> No.
>> Reporter: You're sure that it's right? >> I'm sure. >> It is a bold strategy to say the least, and one they were forced to adopt because of their race to beat Steven Jones. With this in mind, it does reframe Jones’ work. Let’s put aside the matter of priority
for one minute. Steve Jones and his team, are physicists. They know exactly how many neutrons they should be seeing, and have a state of the art detector to do it, and they did a proper background test.
His group was seeing literally just 2 neutrons per hour. Just 2. That is 10 thousand times less than the already shockingly low number from Pons and Fleischmann. That amount should work out to just 1 trillionth of a watt.
And that’s where the distinction between the two groups lay. >> Number one, there is fusion, cold nuclear fusion, at a very low level. Number two, the level is not enough to lead us to suspect
heat therefore my conclusion is that we don't have heat due to fusion. I would say that cold fusion is hopeless as a source of energy. >> This is a very, very critical difference, and the media coverage in the immediate aftermath did not do a great job of conveying this.
Both groups are claiming something remarkable, but only Pons and Fleischmann are arguing this could be a new source of energy. To go back to Jones’ favourite analogy, if his was claim was a dollar, theirs was the national debt. He may not have been first, but his results
certainly sounded more realistic. Indeed, among physicists, Pons and Fleischmann were viewed largely as quacks, but this Jones fellow, well maybe there’s something there. Although certainly the most obvious problem, the lack of neutrons was not the only issue people saw with the paper.
Take the tritium, the other radioactive product you’d expect to see after fusion. In their paper, they reported 10,000 to 20,000 counts per second. Compared to the neutrons, this was around 10 times as much. But it was still 1 billion times too small to
correspond to the heat they saw. It was also weird they were seeing more tritium than neutrons. The 50/50 branching ratio means you should be seeing pretty much equal amounts. So where else could
tritium come from? Tritium, just like neutrons, can be created naturally via cosmic rays. The difference though is that this only happens in the upper atmosphere, and even then extremely rarely. However, the U of U chemistry department isn’t exactly a good baseline.
Labs that often deal with radioactive materials will leave behind radioactive contaminants. Heavy water, although primarily deuterium, will have tritium in it a few times higher than the normal background level. Not to mention, another common lab material is something called tritiated water, where all the
hydrogen atoms have been replaced with tritium. It’s a notorious contaminant that will get into the air if you’re not careful. If you haven’t assessed the tritium background before running the experiment, how do you know the tritium came from? Let’s go back to the main reason this is even supposed to work at all.
Palladium absorbs deuterium like a sponge. So much deuterium packed so tightly causes astronomical pressures, at least according to Fleischmann. Let’s give you a frame of reference.
1 atmosphere of pressure is what most of you are breathing right now. The bottom of the ocean, is around 1000 atmospheres. The pressure in the core of the sun, is 100 billion atmospheres.
And yet, Pons and Fleischmann claimed that their palladium rods were experiencing an effective pressure of, 10 to the 27 atmospheres. >> By compressing deuterium gas, D2, then you would need between 10 to the 26 and 10 to the 27 atmospheres of pressure. >> That is 10 quadrillion times more, than the
core of the sun. This is such a baffling number, and should have been a major red flag to either of them. Once again, this was a detail announced in their press conference, but the media reporting on it would not have picked up on the absurdity. As it turns out, they had made a basic mistake.
They had used the wrong equation. When the correct equation is applied, the pressure in their cells is only 15,000 atmospheres. Higher than ambient yes, but still far, far too low to enable fusion. But perhaps the most outrageous omission from their experiment, was a basic control test.
The most primitive control they could have run. Instead of using heavy water, use light water. Use hydrogen, instead of deuterium. If heavy water produced excess heat, and light water
didn’t, then it was solid proof that fusion was behind the heat. But if light water also produced excess heat, it would suggest that there was some sort of mistake in their heat measurements. Pons and Fleischmann had simply not done a light water control.
We know this because Fleischmann was asked this exact question by the director of CERN, Carlo Rubbia, at a publicly recorded talk. This is the actual audio of their exchange. >> Rubbia: Martin if you don't allow me to do that by asking you a direct question, namely this all this has been done with deuterium
in the water. Did you ever try to do the same experiment replacing deuterated water with ordinary water, if you do so what happens? >> Fleishmann: I must confess to you that those those experiments are just going on now, and we will hope to give you that answer very shortly.
The reason we haven't done so is that if you do that experiment you do in fact ruin the electrodes, and we have so far had very limited resources. >> Those who were present recall that several people gasped. His answer effectively boils down to, we didn’t have time or money.
But this just doesn’t line up. They have said repeatedly that they first started experiment in 1984, almost five years ago. And they didn’t run a light water control, even once?
In the press conference he said this: >> We have tried very hard to prove ourselves wrong, all the way down the line. >> Narrator: Evidently they didn’t try hard enough. According to Marvin Hawkins they didn’t start running light water
tests until late April, almost an entire month after they had announced to the world their breakthrough discovery. On April 9th, Stan Pons will claim that he ran light water controls. We know this, because Chuck Martin, a good friend of Stanley Pons, called
him up about an experiment he had run. >> What had happened was, that Chuck Martin was doing experiments with both heavy water and light water. We now know what was incorrect with that particular experiment, that he had a bad earth connection to a thermometer, so power
was entering the cell through the thermometer and heating it up. Which was not of course in the book balancing, and he called up Stan Pons this weekend immediately before that date and said “We're seeing heat with heavy water we're really excited.” and Pons said “That's great I knew that somebody was going to reproduce it soon I'm glad it was you.” and then Martin
said to him “But we have a problem, we are also seeing heat with light water.” and Pons said “That's the most exciting thing we see it too.” [Laughter] >> When he’s asked if he’s run a light water control at the ACS meeting in Dallas, he responds quote: “A baseline reaction run with water is not necessarily a good baseline. We do not get the total blank experiment we expected.”
It’s a cryptic way to answer that question, but reading between the lines one can imagine that he was hoping for a different result. Later, on April 20th, Nature will publicly refuse to publish the paper submitted to them by Pons and Fleischmann as all three of its reviewers have been highly critical, and they focused in on the lack of a light water
control. If they had truly been working on this for five entire years, how had they not once run a light water control? Pons was indignant, quote: “I’ll argue that the control is taking a palladium rod that absolutely does not work, and place that side by side to an experiment that is, in the same solution, and that is a control experiment.
It’s never done anything there but sit at you.” This is nonsensical. You can only know that a palladium rod doesn’t work until after you’ve tested it, by which point, it can’t be a control. Unless there is some measurable difference between the working and non-working palladium, this is worthless.
On April 25th, the Wall Street Journal will report that “Mr Pons said he has a plain water experiment producing small unmeasured amounts of heat.” In summary, we really have no idea what their light water result was because Pons and Fleischmann don’t seem to know either. >> The referees in that journal, that is
the people who decide whether to allow that article to be published or not, said they needed more information. The Utah group said: “Hey listen we don't have the time, we don't want to go through the trouble right now to provide you with information. Give us our
paper back. We won't even be bothered.” >> He also got Gary Triggs to send Nature a threatening letter. In a move that likely stung quite a bit, Nature did say that they would publish Steven Jones’ paper.
A mistake is not the same thing as fraud. You can unknowingly make an error. If you find out later that you made a mistake, the proper course of action is to come out publicly, admit it, and either retract or correct it.
Embarrassing, yes, but certainly not unethical. Where it turns into fraud is when you deliberately try to cover up that mistake. Just a couple weeks after their paper was published, they released an errata, adding the name
of Marvin Hawkins. But in that same errata, they had also changed a graph. They did not provide a reason why. If they had, it would have raised alarm bells.
Unfortunately for them, at least one person had been paying close attention. [Music] On May 1st a Boston Herald story is printed that quotes MIT physicist Ronald Parker, calling the work quote: “scientific schlock” and possibly “misrepresentation and maybe fraud.” A few weeks earlier Parker’s group had attempted to repeat the
experiment, and hadn’t seen evidence of neutrons. >> Our analysis indicates it's likely that many, many fewer neutrons were observed than claimed, if any at all. >> Narrator: Although they said they would keep at it.
But this headline was a clear step up from the previous statement. Parker, likely fearing that he might get sued, later tried to deny he said any such thing, despite his interview being recorded. Given Pons’ tendency to sic Gary Triggs on people, he was probably right to be worried.
>> MIT is used to being right on top of every scientific discovery just as it happens that increases their frustration. >> But his reason to suspect fraud seemed to be justified, thanks to a tip from a colleague named Richard Petrasso. Petrasso had stumbled upon a
highly suspicious piece of data in the paper. In his eyes cold fusion was a ridiculous claim. It was quote: “Just glib bullshit, as far as we know.” The only piece of evidence that made him remotely interested was the gamma ray spectra. Fusion is supposed to emit neutrons. That much you know by now.
Because they were short on funds, Pons and Fleischmann borrowed a low sensitivity neutron dosimeter. All this detector could do was count neutrons, they don’t tell you anything about where those neutrons came from. If we could measure the energy of those neutrons, we could
be far more certain they’re coming from fusion. And so, we want to look for gamma rays. Gamma rays are high energy photons, typically emitted by a radioactive source. By measuring all the gamma rays in a lab, you can plot them on an energy spectrum. It will have a sloping background level, with lots of distinct peaks jutting up.
Each peak is associated with well known energy levels. This peak at 1.46 MeV for instance comes from radioactive potassium, which is present in the environment, and also your body. Same with this peak at 2.62 MeV which comes
from radioactive thallium. There is also a peak that can prove fusion is occurring. When a neutron is emitted into a water bath, it will gradually slow down until it collides with a proton and become captured by it.
This emits a gamma ray. And its energy level is extremely precise. It is 2.224 MeV, with very little wiggle room. A gamma ray from fusion should look like this. A peak at
exactly 2.224 MeV. And in the paper published by Pons and Fleischmann, that’s exactly what you see. A peak in almost the exact right spot. Except, there was an earlier draft of this graph. In both their submissions to the Journal of Electroanalytical Chemistry, and Nature, they had
submitted a graph with a peak way to the right, at 2.5 MeV. There is no relevant radiation phenomena that occurs at 2.5. It is just straight up the wrong value. Pons and
Fleischmann might have realized this, if they had asked even just one colleague in U of U’s physics department. Indeed, if the Journal of Electroanalytical Chemistry hadn’t rushed the peer review process, they would have sent it out to a reviewer with knowledge of nuclear physics, who would have caught this problem and likely rejected the paper.
Ultimately though, the graph with 2.5 was never made public, because on March 28th Fleischmann was giving a talk in the UK at Harwell labs, and the audience members there immediately recognized the peak as a mistake. Later that day he told Pons over the phone, and Pons then submitted a new graph,
with the peak moved to 2.22. Not just that though, the Y-axis had been scaled from 20,000 down to 2200, just 10% of what it used to be. In the fax he sent to Nature, he did not explain the reason for this correction.
This of course is all behind the scenes, not public knowledge. When the paper was eventually published, the only hint that something had changed is that an equation still had 2.5 in it. Without knowing that the graph had been changed, people thought this was just a typo. Richard Petrasso initially thought the same.
But fortunately for him, he happened to have friends who worked at Nature, who had seen the original graph, and they let him know the peak had changed. Now Petrasso thinks that there is something highly suspicious going on. But beyond that, the new graph had other problems.
For one, it was far too zoomed in. Sure, there may be something at 2.22, but unless you can see the full range of energies, you can’t tell if it’s a signal, or if it’s noise.
The shape of the peak also looked weird, it’s about half as wide as it should be. And there are distinct features that were missing to the left of the peak. There should be a slope known as the Compton edge.
And even further left there should be a bump known as the first escape peak. The Pons and Fleischmann graph lacked both of those. Petrasso wondered if there was a copy of the full spectrum somewhere.
Luckily for him, Pons and Fleischmann had let a bunch of Utah news stations come in and film their lab. And so, he went and scoured every news clip he could find until he found a clip from CNN. In it was a computer screen with the full spectrum.
Because he knows exactly where the peaks for potassium and thallium should be, Petrasso was able to scale the rest of the spectrum. And low and behold, when he looked for the so-called fusion peak, it was at 2.5, and not 2.22.
Petrasso began phoning people at U of U to get more info. He even sent a student to Salt Lake City just to see if any more news channels had more footage. Marvin Hawkins confirmed to Petrasso that the peak was originally
measured at 2.5. But he wasn’t the only person who backed that up. Pons had needed help with the gamma ray measurements, and so he had asked a medical radiation physicist named Robert Hoffman to perform them.
In fact Hoffman, just like Hawkins, had his name left off the paper at the last minute, a move that felt like a personal slight. After the press conference Hoffman refused to work with Pons and Fleischmann ever again. Hoffman later ran some new tests,
and came to the conclusion that an issue with the preamplifier caused artifacts in his spectrum. He wrote a letter on April 27th to Pons where he stated there was no evidence for anything at 2.2, and that the 2.5 peak was an artifact. He was essentially retracting his data from their paper, despite being left off as an author.
Petrasso was outraged. With no explanation, Pons and Fleischmann appeared to have fabricated a critical piece of evidence. He began to write a paper lambasting them which he would later submit to Nature.
He was reportedly so angry about this that the original draft of his letter was so emotional he needed a colleague to help him tone it down. Nature will reach out to Pons for comment, and after he doesn’t reply for weeks, they gave him a deadline.
His response was apparently so volatile, Nature declined to publish it. Petrasso’s paper is published on May 18th. It will be a crushing blow to Pons and Fleischmann’s credibility, an indisputable smoking gun.
Gary Triggs will later attempt to block the paper, but this amounts to little more than idle threats. But, Petrasso’s paper wouldn’t matter. That’s one of the ironies of this story. Scientists
knew just how damning the gamma rays were, but to the media it was just one of a dozen other criticisms flying around. Really, the media only paid attention an entire year later when a book by Frank Close exposed the behind the scenes shenanigans, and he heavily implied fraud, or at least as far as UK libel law allowed him to.
>> I then spoke to Marvin Hawkins the graduate student, and he didn't know either. And I said let's get this straight I said. It's clear that a peak was measured at 2.5.
There are four people involved in this experiment. Fleischmann doesn't know how it's moved, Hoffman doesn't know how it's moved, now you're telling me that you don't know how it's moved, and he said “I think you've got the picture now.” [Laughter] >> But by that point it didn’t matter. Cold fusion had been dead for a year. >> Five laboratories have
successfully repeated the experiment, six others have failed. >> Tonight other scientists at MIT and elsewhere are saying they have evidence suggesting there was no fusion. >> For now at least, the skeptics
seem to outnumber the believers in the San Francisco Bay area where so many top ranked scientists work. >> News Anchor: And a Duke scientist says the problem with Pons and Fleischmann's work is that it amounts to “sloppy science versus reproducible science.” Two groups of scientists at the
University of Michigan announced today that they have found no evidence to confirm claims of a fusion reaction— >> But back here in this country a spokesman for the Los Alamos labs is denying earlier reports that scientists there were close to repeating the experiment. >>Narrator: Weeks earlier lab after lab announced
that they had confirmed part of cold fusion, but by now just as many labs had declared the exact opposite. They couldn’t see enough neutrons, tritium, or any gamma rays. For physicists, any of those three would be the gold standard proof of fusion, and yet they did not see them.
But for chemists, the most compelling piece of evidence had always been the calorimetry, the heat. After all, if we go back all the way to 1985, we have the original piece of evidence that was so convincing, so unambiguous, that it swayed both Pons and Fleischmann into believing they had seen something nuclear.
The mythical meltdown. A 1cm cube of palladium had melted, and left a hole in the lab bench and concrete. They could think of no chemical reaction that could cause so much damage, produce so much heat. It had to be nuclear.
But the thing is, no one actually witnessed the event itself, all we know is that the cube melted. By this point plenty of theories had been put forward that weren’t so mythical. If you have a partially
enclosed container that is slowly being filled with oxygen and hydrogen gas, and a bunch of it leaks out of the palladium all at once, all you’d need was a rogue spark, and you’d go up like the Hindenburg. And as we saw before, at least two labs, Livermore in California, and North Carolina U, called off their experiments because they had explosions.
And their conclusions were that they had accidentally caused traditional chemical explosions. Nothing nuclear about it. Pons and Fleischmann have said repeatedly that they could not think of a
single non-nuclear explanation for the heat that they saw. They’d had five years to ponder this issue. Maybe they just lacked imagination. Even besides the meltdown, Pons and Fleischmann
said they had seen 300% excess heat. 4 Watts out for every 1 Watt in. It was those numbers that made the news. Those numbers that convinced the world the era of fossil fuels may come to an
end far sooner than expected. But there was at least one chemist, one electrochemist in fact, who seriously doubted those numbers as well. Nathan Lewis was a 33 year old professor at Caltech, with a solid reputation among his peers especially for his age.
Chuck Martin, a friend of both him and Stanley Pons said quote: “I’m not as young as Nate, and nobody’s as smart as Nate” He called him quote: “one of the most fiercely competitive son-of-a-bitches you’ll ever meet”. On March 23rd, when cold fusion was announced to
the world, Chuck Martin had phoned Lewis’ wife and frantically told her to record it on CNN. Nate absolutely needed to see this. Lewis’ group at Caltech had been trying to replicate cold fusion since day 1.
Initially, Lewis let his postdocs do most of the work as at first as he was highly skeptical. He told them they were allowed at most a single day. But after talking to some peers and hearing more about Pons and Fleischmann he figured maybe there was
something to this. Quote: “They’re a little flaky, but they’re not crazy. I don’t know what to think.” What really got him interested was talking to a Caltech physicist named Steve Koonin, who told him about the extremely similar work by Steve Jones at BYU, who was known to be a fusion expert.
The scandalous backstory there wasn’t public yet, so to Lewis this seemed like two groups independently stumbling onto the same thing. And so he directed his group to try and take a real crack at this thing. As the frenzy around cold fusion grew, Lewis’ team grew to 15 chemists and physicists working side by side.
Their neutron detector was around 100,000 times more sensitive than the one used in the Utah work. But they could only do so much when the paper lacked experimental details. There was no calibration data for the calorimeter.
In fact, the paper didn’t list even a SINGLE temperature reading, it only reported results in terms of watts of power. Lewis had personally emailed Pons asking for more info, even just a preprint of the paper. Pons called him
and was friendly, but said he’d had to wait for a copy. Lewis asked for anything, just anything he could give him, and Pons only gave him a cryptic warning. Quote: “be careful, we’ve had explosions. I don’t want you to hurt yourself.
I want you to be careful.” As for what to avoid, Pons only offered this: “Avoid high current and sharp edges.” Lewis and his group would have to push forward using their best guesses. Weeks go by, and they see nothing. And through the grapevine,
they hear about some folks at MIT who think the gamma ray data is highly suspect. Lewis is convinced that this has been a wild goose chase. >> This is the Caltech cold fusion group, which of course was with the major anti-groups.
>>Narrator: But even at this point, he wasn’t willing to go public against it yet. Steve Koonin had invited him to speak at the upcoming American Physical Society meeting in Baltimore. This was going to be the physics equivalent of the Woodstock level meeting in Dallas.
Lewis initially declined the offer. But one night, he stayed up late to watch the congressional hearing on CSPAN. It was there he saw the University of Utah ask for $25 million for unproven research. And it was also
where Fleischmann divulged a piece of information that had not been public before. A comment so innocuous that no one in the room caught its significance. But Lewis did. And it was so
offensive that he decided that he couldn’t sit back anymore. He phoned Steve Koonin back. He was going to speak in Baltimore after all. Dallas had managed to attract 7000 chemists into a basketball arena.
APS in Baltimore would manage just 2000. It is no Woodstock, and some likened it more to a political convention, but it will still go down as the stuff of legends. Steve Koonin gave one of the more memorable talks, and he had a dry sense of humour that played well on TV.
Quote: “One could theorize about how pigs would behave if they had wings. But pigs don’t have wings.” He had been running computer simulations to see how likely it was that deuterium would fuse at room temperature. He found, that even with a deuterium ball the same size as the sun, only 1 fusion was likely to occur in an entire
year. To end his talk he did not mince words: >> Theoretically I would say that the BYU results are dubious, but not impossible. My conclusion is that the current situation is gloomy but not yet terminal, and one needs a few more sensitive experiments
to decide what's going on. Let me then turn to the Utah experiments. My conclusion based on my experience, my knowledge of nuclear physics, and my intuition is that the experiments are just wrong.
And that we're suffering from the incompetence and perhaps delusion of doctors Pons and Fleischmann. [Applause] >> Narrator: Now by the standards of an academic conference, Koonin had dropped a bomb, but this was still a toned down version of what he’d wanted to say. The Caltech lawyers had told him that whatever
he did, he couldn’t use the word fraud. He had warmed up the crowd, and they were hungry for the killing blow. In Koonin’s words, if he had hit a triple, then Lewis was about to hit a home run.
>> Well Steve you really shook ‘em up. Steve knows something about the experiments I'm going to tell you about, so he's a little justified. There are two pieces of news, one I'm a chemist, two I'm an objective scientist.
>>Narrator: He starts out with the questions many in the audience had been asking: Where are the neutrons? Where is the tritium? He also gets a small jab in about the gamma rays. >>Lewis: We never saw anything above the background, and to prove that to you I'll show you the foreground, and I'll show you
the whole spectrum not just one peak. And you see that we basically if anything see a little bit of negative peak in the 2.2 region. >> Narrator: But soon he'd move on to the real issue in his area of specialty, the calorimetry.
The heat. >> Lewis: Let's turn to heat. Heat is confusing to almost everyone including almost all of my electrochemical friends and I will try to walk you through this and you will be shocked.
Guaranteed. >>Narrator: Calorimetry is not as simple as pumping in electricity and seeing the change in the water’s temperature. You need to measure how fast the water is heating up. Accurate calorimetry needs a closed system.
You have a box, and you make sure no heat is entering or leaving that box without being accounted for. Notably, the Pons and Fleischmann cells were open topped. And since electrolysis of
heavy water generates deuterium and oxygen gas, it’s fair to assume that not all of it will be absorbed by the palladium, and some of it may escape the cell into the rest of the lab. Now, this is not inherently flawed as a setup. In fact compared to a closed cell this is a much safer design that reduces the risk of explosions. As long as you’re keeping track of
the gases leaving the cell, your calculations can still be accurate. But Lewis argued that Pons and Fleischmann’s math only worked out if you assumed that 100% of the gases escaped. However, in reality some percentage of the gases will recombine back into water, injecting small bursts
of heat into the system. Lewis argued they had no way to prove that wasn’t happening. Another flaky assumption was that the temperature in the cell was uniform. Lewis argued that cells could easily
have hot and cold spots. Even something as simple as stirring or using multiple thermometers would help eliminate potential errors. Lewis gets a major laugh when he explains how his team got the dimensions for the fusion cell.
>> We built an exact cell as best we could from all the press photos that we had of the Pons-Fleischmann cell. We measured the ratio of their wrist to their arm and got a good scale length, and we built the cell. [Major Laughter] >>Narrator: But by far the biggest bomb
dropped during Lewis’ presentation was the realization he had while watching Pons and Fleischmann on CSPAN. >> Where do these last numbers come from? The 4 to 1 and 10 to 1, by the way these last two numbers the biggest two were calculated in error even by their own formulas.
This 1224 should really be only 306 and this 286 should really be 143, but that's not the real part. If you read the congressional record [Laughter] —and you look on CSPAN. I told them that
we knew this and they didn't reply to me. >> Narrator: It is this moment, right here: >> Fleischmann: One of the results which I'll show you—one of the sets of calculations which I'll show you on the next slide, and is a really a hypothetical energy release, I'd stress that because in— it involves the recalculation of our data.
>> And he said it so casually, so quickly before moving on to another point, that no one caught what he meant. But he had just admitted that the heat values, the 1 Watt in and the 4 Watts out, weren’t measured directly.
They were theoretical. >> Lewis: But Fleischmann pointed out, if you read it very closely, that the third column numbers were hypothetical and he knew that we knew that. So he did point it out for the
first time in public last Wednesday. >> They had measured a palladium rod that was 1.25 cm long, but through some scaling process they did not explain, they extrapolated this result to a 10 cm long rod. So in their extrapolation they could get 300% excess
heat, but their average measured value was only 27%. Obviously, that’s still in the green. But compared to 300% this was a much, much smaller number, which meant there was plenty of room for error in the calorimetry.
>> And instead of dividing it by the total power in, they divided it by an imaginary quantity. The current times an assumed voltage, half a volt, not the voltages they measured just the voltage they assumed. All of these were this numerator divided
by this fixed arbitrarily chosen voltage. And so those numbers in the third column were scaled based on this arbitrary choice of half a volt, and that's where the 4 to 1 and 10 to 1 that are reported in their paper come from. I just want to make sure that that is clear.
We have no evidence for neutrons, we have no evidence for gamma rays above background, we have no evidence for tritium production at any reasonable rates, we have no evidence for ambient helium—for helium above ambient, and we have no evidence for any excess enthalpy in our measurements. >>Narrator: As soon as he finishes
the applause is roaring. It lasts an entire minute. Lewis himself said that he felt like Kareem Abdul-Jabbar. Lewis had spoken quickly and with confidence, and
had plenty of quips to share with the media. >> This experiment hasn’t been reproduced by any national laboratory or any university yet without a good football team. >>Narrator: The Lewis talk was so devastating that around half the audience left the conference immediately after.
An organizer tried to get them back to work, meaning they had more talks to listen to. One person shouted back: “We are getting back to work.” Pons and Fleischmann, despite an extended invitation, decline to attend Baltimore.
They were right to avoid it. An editor for Nature, David Lindley, called the conference quote: “A hanging party lacking only its intended victims.” Notably, Steve Jones did accept an invitation. If you remember, it was an abstract he had submitted to APS in February mentioning cold fusion, that had kicked off this entire chain of
events. By now his set of talking points was locked in. His dollar, vs the national debt. The flower growing vs the tree. He’d also taken the time to practice some
limericks poking fun at Pons and Fleischmann. >> Last night upon the stair, I saw a man who wasn't there, he wasn't there again today, oh how I wish he'd go away. >> Narrator: I have no idea what this means.
The rehearsed nature of his talking points helped to cover up the fact that he was extremely stressed from all the public attention and criticism. He was still being accused of stealing the idea, and was no doubt covering his bases with BYU’s lawyers. One reporter from the LA
times said that Jones had lost 13 pounds in the past few weeks from stress. Still keen to assert himself as the rational cold fusion discoverer, at a panel of 9 including himself, he proposed a show of hands vote as to whether the group believed Pons and Fleischmann’s results were real.
The vote went 8 to 1 against. When he asked the same question about his own work, the vote was better, 6 in his favour, 3 against. His neutron rate of just 2 per hour was so low, some thought he had just measured a cosmic ray burst and was deluding himself. Others found
his presentation tacky, a chance to grandstand with Pons and Fleischmann being absent. He even showed off his legally notarized logbook pages, which made him seem more interested in patent rights than figuring out any scientific truth. >> Some of the physicists who've
heard Jones use that analogy say they don't think the sprout is a tree or a flower, they think it's a weed. >> Narrator: This was still the Pons and Fleischmann show, and Jones’ attempts to redirect the spotlight were floundering. The APS conference
threw a wet blanket all over Washington. >> Today White House chief of staff John Sununu was supposed to meet with U of U fusion chemist Stanley Pons but Sununu cancelled. To top it off the house science committee was supposed to visit Pons’ lab next
week but today the committee cancelled. >> When we look back on the history of this scandal, most point to Nathan Lewis’ talk as the fatal blow. But many scientists had already chosen sides by this point.
In an audience of mainly physicists, he was just reinforcing a view that many of them already believed. He wasn’t the first to come out against, nor was he the most famous or even the most vocal. His presentation, while more
interesting than your typical academic talk, would quickly bore the average person. Maybe part of it is that it feels satisfying in a dramatic sense. Here came a fellow electrochemist, willing to speak out against two of his peers.
By the end of the night CNN was running the story, and the tide was beginning to turn. >> Scientists meeting in Baltimore have declared cold fusion studies at the University of Utah dead. >> I think it's improbable in the Jones case but
not impossible. I believe that it's impossible in the Utah case. Either there's some secret ingredient or some uncontrolled variables that they're not telling us about or be that it's wrong, and I put my bets on the latter right now.
>> The number of experiments that have been done in the University, there’s very few, I mean it's incredible in five and a half years they’ve done so little. >> Tens of millions of dollars are at stake dear sister and brother, because some scientists put a
thermometer at one place and not another. >> Reporter: The Times remarked the government would do better to put the money on a horse. >> Narrator: Whether you want to attribute it to Baltimore, or the public’s short attention span, the media decided that as of early May, cold
fusion fever was over. Lewis’ talk was held on May 1st. This graph of articles on a week by week basis shows that there was a massive plummet the week following the conference. And despite a small spike the week after, interest had died by June and would never recover.
>> It hit the cover of Business Week, Time, and Newsweek in the first week of May 89, and I was told that this was the first time the same story had been on the front cover of all these since Kennedy's assassination. >> This is the last time cold fusion will be
receive this level of mainstream spotlight. Only local Utah media will continue to cover it with any consistency. But as one physicist said at the time: “The corpse of cold fusion will probably continue to twitch for a while”. I don’t
think he realized just how bang on he was. >>Narrator: On the 22nd of July 2023 a preprint of a physics paper appeared online. It will be all anyone can talk about for the next month. It concerns
a material called LK-99. A room temperature superconductor. Superconductors were first found in the early 1900s. They’re remarkable because they have almost zero electrical resistance when
brought down to frigid temperatures, often close to absolute zero. And then in 1986 something amazing happened. Physicists had stumbled onto materials with critical temperatures as high as 77 Kelvin, a temp we can reach with liquid nitrogen. It was a complete upending of the scientific
status quo. In one of the fastest turnarounds in the field’s history, the discoverers won the Nobel Prize the very next year. Since then, the path forward has been obvious. Keep raising
the temperature. Find one that can operate at room temperature. Without the limitation of cryogenic coolers, maglev trains could go further, MRI machines would be cheaper, and even our power grids might be 20% more efficient. Maybe one day we could end our dependence on
oil and gas. It would fundamentally change the entire way we lived. And we’ve been searching for that holy grail for decades. That’s why LK-99 took the world by storm.
For a brief moment, people wanted to believe in something. LK-99 wasn’t particularly exotic. A mixture of copper, lead, phosphorus and oxygen with a hexagonal crystal
shape. It looks like a hunk of unremarkable grey metal. Two of the paper’s authors, Lee and Kim, said they’d been working on it since 1999, hence the name. This made for a great
underdog story. If real, it would almost guarantee Korea its first ever Nobel prize, a goal the country had been chasing for decades. Because it was made of relatively cheap and easy to find materials the barrier for entry was super
low. It was so accessible in fact, that everyone from huge national labs to hobbyists in their basements were cranking out experiments. Science is most often done out of the public eye, mostly because it’s difficult, but also because it’s generally very boring.
But with LK-99 this was something different. Amateurs were documenting their progress on Twitter. Reddit threads tracked updates with meticulous detail. LK-99 was a spectator sport because it
felt like history was being made in real time. Part of what really captured people’s imagination was the videos. The Korean team had shown a piece of LK-99, about the size of a coin, levitating in a magnetic field.
This was a showcase of the Meissner effect, one of the two main properties of a superconductor. Soon, several more videos of levitating scraps began to appear on twitter, each one being viewed as further evidence of confirmation. On Bilibili, a Chinese social
media app, one levitation video became the most viewed video of August 1st. The reaction from many was that there is clearly something here, it doesn’t take fancy equipment to tell you what you can see with your own eyes. With the cryptocurrency market crashing in 2023,
many speculative investors turned their attention to LK-99 as the next big thing. Korean and Chinese tech stocks surged for two weeks before returning to normal in early August. Scams, hype and misinformation flourished. Fan fiction about the authors was being published on Twitter but shared without people realizing it was completely fake.
The language barrier made it even harder to verify fact from fiction. But many scientists, from the beginning, had been skeptical. This was not their first rodeo.
They’d lived through Hendrik Schon, and Ranga Dias had a paper retracted just the year before. Everyone and their kitchen sink had claimed a room temperature superconductor before, and it was unclear why this one would be any different. First of all, the paper hadn’t even been peer reviewed, it was
just a preprint. And second of all, levitation is not exclusive to superconductivity. Plenty of magnetic materials levitate for a variety of less interesting reasons. And thirdly, no one
had provided the data that actually mattered, the resistivity. Unless it reliably went to zero, there was plenty of room for error. The skepticism was met with pushback. Open minds are
how paradigms are upended. Let’s wait and see. But as the weeks wore on, the tide quickly began to change. At least 15 labs found they couldn’t replicate the effect.
A paper published in Nature on August 16th was considered by many the definitive final word. LK-99 isn’t a superconductor. It is an insulator.
Any effect that looked like superconductivity was inconsistent at best, and due to impurities in the samples, which arise due to contamination in the fabrication process. These effects are not superconductivity, but rather small instances of regular magnetism. There was no obvious evidence of fraud, no data that was knowingly manipulated.
They just got it wrong. None of this controversy needed to happen, and it can all be traced back to one key reason. Because the team went public before their paper was properly peer reviewed.
Both Kim and Lee said that the initial paper was posted online without their permission by another author. Lee called it incomplete, and Kim admitted it was full of flaws. As for why that author rushed to go public,
the reasons are unclear, but some signs point to a fear of leaks. But it is clear that they thought they had something truly real. Even though much of the world stopped paying attention in August of 2023, some true diehards persisted.
The original Korean group told anyone still listening that future papers would fix the issues. And throughout 2024, groups in Japan and China insist that they are on the verge of a breakthrough. At the
time of writing it is a little more than a year since LK-99 had its 15 minutes in the spotlight. There is something powerful about its promise that allows it to persist in people’s minds. They put aside their usual skepticism because the potential payoff is so big. Like betting on
the lottery. You know the odds aren’t great. Astronomical even. But if it ever paid off it would change the world. So why not keep trying.
What’s a couple extra months? What’s one year? What’s two? The longer you keep at it, the lonelier it gets. Every day you keep going your peers lose a little respect for you, and you may even pass a point where your credibility is permanently stained.
By then, why not go all the way? You just have to keep hoping that it will all be worth it. >> Without some morals, or something to believe in on this planet, be it god, or science, or whatever you truly believe in.
And what do you have? What do you have? What do you have—what reason do you have to survive? What reason do you have to go on? >> “He that doeth nothing is damned, and I don't want to be damned.” [Music] For the majority of the world, Baltimore 1989 is where cold fusion died. It was so thoroughly eviscerated, alongside the
credibility of Pons and Fleischmann, that anyone with just a passing interest gave up on the dream. It became just another entry in a long list of scientific inventions that turned out to be nonsense. Polywater, N-rays, turning lead into gold.
Shorthand for the impossible. But ideas are nearly impossible to kill entirely. If it’s tantalizing enough, there will always be champions for it.
And so began the long, long, summer. If you were in the room itself, cheering alongside 2000 others to Nathan Lewis’ talk, you might have been compelled to call cold fusion dead then and there. But those who weren’t in Baltimore that day were not as
easily swayed. Dozens of other labs had reported positive results. They were also seeing heat, neutrons, tritium, or some mix of the three. Many were still on the
fence, and the overwhelmingly negative atmosphere in Baltimore felt like a witch hunt to some. A level of skepticism that was crossing the line into prejudice. A refusal to even consider that there may be something new going on here. >> People who have been unable to reproduce
the experiment are not doing it correctly. >> Lewis’ talk had been recorded, but many scientists were not able to watch it for themselves, and only heard of it secondhand from colleagues. Some argued that Lewis had done what he so many others criticized Pons
and Fleischmann of, going public before they had a peer reviewed paper. But Lewis and his group were aware of this criticism, and so they did what Pons and Fleischmann did not. They opened themselves up to questions. Lewis was personally on the phone for hours each
day, speaking to those who wanted answers. His group sent over their data and calculations via fax machine to anyone who wanted them. And in several cases, his team called up labs with positive results and pointed out errors in their experiments that eventually led to retractions.
And this is why ultimately many groups came over to Lewis’ side. Pons and Fleischmann had spent months refusing to divulge key information despite asking for millions of dollars in taxpayer money, and on the rare occasions they did respond to questions, they often contradicted past answers. In Dallas, cold fusion’s advocates
were on top of the world. In Baltimore, its critics struck a near fatal blow. But you could argue that in both cases, those were echo chambers. The true decisive battle would require a confrontation of both sides.
And that would take place in Los Angeles on May 8th. This was a special session of the Electrochemistry Society. This is the definition of home turf for Pons and Fleischmann. It’s not just chemistry,
it’s electrochemistry, their exact subfield. >> We visited the Colosseum where the Christians you know were fed to the lions. I mean the parallel has occurred to me.
>>Narrator: They’ll be surrounded by allies, in a smaller arena of just 1600. And the organizers had made a point of stacking the list of speakers with only those who reported positive results. However, as soon as news of this became public the organizers received massive backlash, and agreed to accept negative papers too.
The conference itself took place without much friction. But it was the press conference that took place after that caused a PR nightmare. Hugo Rossi, dean of science at U of U called LA, quote: “the end of innocence.” After enjoying
an amicable relationship with the press for over a month, you can tell from the very first question that the vibes have shifted. >>Reporter: Dr Fleischmann, I was one of the few reporters that paid the 200 to get in there, and I think on behalf of the press we'd like to object that the session was not open to regular press coverage.
Are you willing to acknowledge any possibility at all that your observations are wrong and you did not have fusion, or are you completely convinced you had fusion? >> I have always been ready to acknowledge the fact that our experiments may be faulty. If we turn
out to be wrong I'll be the first to admit it. >> Narrator: Fleischmann shows visible frustration here. Pons and Fleischmann had done a major pivot since Baltimore, the lack of neutrons wasn’t bad news, it was actually good news.
Why? Of the three radiation branches, they were focusing on the wrong ones. They shouldn’t actually be seeing neutrons or tritium, they should be seeing helium. Here’s the big issue though, the third branch does not occur nearly as often as the first or second. Whereas those two occur roughly 50/50, the third branch is just a fraction of a percent.
You could make the argument that something about doing it at room temperature might change these percentages, but there was no solid evidence to back this up. In fact, muon catalyzed fusion, which can and does often occur at room temperature, shows no significant change in its branching ratios. And there’s another thing, this branch should give off gamma rays at 23.8 MeV.
And since they weren’t seeing those gamma rays, they argued that those rays are being absorbed by the palladium lattice. A convenient explanation. But again, even this would have some visible evidence.
High energy electrons whizzing through water causes Cherenkov radiation which has a distinct blue glow, which should be visible to the naked eye. When asked if they had seen this, Pons said quote: “To tell you the truth, we haven’t even looked for it. We’ve turned off the lights in
the laboratory and haven’t seen anything, but it’s not that dark.” Helium tends to stay embedded within palladium, and so two labs present at the conference, MIT and Sandia, called Pons’ bluff. They said they’d be happy to analyze the palladium to see how much helium was present. Pons says they can’t do that for nebulous legal reasons.
>> That decision is not up to us. We have a prior commitment and the decision is not up to us. We will get fast results, we will get these analyses done forthwith.
>> Reporter: Can you explain the nature of the prior commitments? >> No. >> Narrator: Los Alamos is in talks with U of U to make a collaboration happen. That deal, like many more to come, would soon fall apart.
Pons’ ever growing paranoia, and Utah’s fear of handing the reigns over to the federal government, meant that negotiations would soon break down. >> Los Alamos laboratory has broken off negotiations with the University of Utah to collaborate on the Pons-Fleischmann experiments.
The lab director says Los Alamos is tired of waiting for the U and will continue collaborating with BYU and Texas A&M. >>Narrator: Later on a reporter, Tom Heppenheimer, angrily asks them why they haven’t been able to run tests looking for helium. >> Reporter: Where is it? >> Pons: We have not run that analysis yet.
>> Reporter: Why not? >> Pons: It is being run now. >> Reporter: You heard that people promised a three day turnaround, I can get— >> Pons: I did not—I found out about that an hour ago okay. I’ve not waited for labratories— >> Reporter: You just dodged
the must essential issue— >> Pons: What? >> Reporter: You just dodged the must essential issue— >>Narrator: To make matters worse for our duo, the list of speakers got a last minute addition. Nathan Lewis had called in a favour, and was going to commandeer the podium to ensure the negative side was properly represented.
>> We have no evidence for helium. We have seen no neutrons at levels 10 to the 7 times more sensitive than are reported by the University of Utah results. We have seen no evidence of gamma rays.
We have seen no tritium in excess of the tritium that would be obtained by the natural enrichment of tritium in water. In conclusion, we have no evidence in our laboratory with any of our samples for fusion.
It is very difficult to believe that there are three sets of magic samples in the world. >> One of the more memorable criticisms Lewis made was the lack of stirring in the cell, which may lead to hot and cold spots. Pons and
Fleischmann tried to rebut this with a video presentation. They showed one of their cells bubbling, and then added a red dye to it. They argued that if the dye mixed in uniformly, then by extension so would the temperature.
Lewis disagreed, and argued they could not know this for sure unless they had actually measured this with multiple thermometers. When they’re asked some critical questions about their gamma ray data, Fleischmann, through a bit of wishy-washy language, retracts the data.
Their most convincing piece of evidence was now gone, and a key reason many scientists lost respect for the duo. And for what felt like the millionth time, they were asked if they had run a control with light water. Fleischmann
jumps in to say they never have. Chuck Martin, who is sitting in the audience, is stunned by this, as he had spoken to Pons over the phone one day and heard the exact opposite. But one moment, more than any other, will be shared on the news all across the country.
While Nathan Lewis is complaining about the lack of public data, Fleischmann loses his cool and they have a tense exchange which requires a moderator to intervene. >> I'm very sorry that professor Lewis has no information on the tritium levels, that is available and is available
in the correction list to the paper. >> Lewis: We know the foreground, we don't know the background. I would like to specifically— >> The background—I beg your pardon, the background is available in the corrections to the paper.
>> Lewis: That might be. I would like to specifically hear whether or not helium— >> Well then please don't—don’t laugh it off. >> Moderator: Could we go on to the questions please? >> Narrator: Fleischmann claims here that the
info Lewis wants is in the errata. Lewis backs down in the clip, and Fleischmann appears to get a win here. But when Lewis later checks the errata published in April, the data is nowhere to be found.
Fleischmann had been referring to a second errata, which wouldn’t be public until June. While this is going on, Pons stares into the crowd with an expression that says he’d rather be anywhere else. >>Reporter: Do you wish now looking
back on what you've been through in this last month or so, that you had just published this quietly instead of holding the news conference and kicked off this whole. >> I don't think the result would have been any different when the paper came out.
>> I think it would have been a very marginal—in the end a very marginal difference, but I wish we had been left to get on with our work at our own pace without the media attention. >> Narrator: This would be their last press conference in public for almost an entire year. There had been six major meetings in just two
months dedicated to cold fusion. Unprecedented for any scientific phenomena. There will continue to be meetings hosted all over, but attendance continues to drop. The next
one in Santa Fe they plan for 1500 attendees, but only 500 show up. And although they have their fair share of interesting details, they can be summed up with the comments of Edward Teller, father of the hydrogen bomb. Perhaps the most accomplished fusion expert in the world.
Although he wanted to believe in cold fusion, he suggested that they needed an entirely new particle to explain what they were seeing. The Meshugatron. A play on the Yiddish word for crazy.
It’s here where we’ll fast forward. [Music] If you wanted, you could tell the story of cold fusion week by week all the way till the end of 1989. I’ll leave that for the books. Instead, I’ll
cover the highlights. In April the Secretary of Energy, James Watkins, had ordered all 12 of the US national labs to work on cold fusion, and he had asked for weekly progress reports. In the meantime, he had also ordered the creation of a dedicated panel to investigate the issue.
This panel was led by John Huizenga, an alumnus of the Manhattan project. He assembled a group of 22 members, including Richard Garwin of IBM, Steve Koonin of Caltech, and Darleane Hoffman of Berkeley. Their job was to review the data of all labs reporting positive results, and in
several cases they had members visit in person. To avoid accusations of bias, the panel consisted of a mixture nuclear fusion physicists, electrochemists, and everything in between. Accusations of bias would be made regardless,
many of them by Stanley Pons. >>News Anchor: Fusion scientist Stanley Pons previously put his lab off limits to the committee saying they are biased against the experiments. The last minute changes in that committee
cleared the way for this visit. >>Narrator: Despite telling him beforehand they wanted to see a full calibration dataset for a working cell, when they arrived Pons said he didn’t have that, and that none of the cells were currently producing excess heat because they had just had a power failure.
Notably, when the panel visited other labs, like that of Texas A&M, and Stanford, not a single visit happened to occur when a cell was actively producing heat. But on the other hand there was an ever growing list of labs that had negative results: MIT, Caltech, Bell Labs, Brookhaven, Yale, Los Alamos, Princeton, University of Michigan, Sandia, Argonne,
Max Planck Institute, University of Tokyo, Chalk River. For Fleischmann the most demoralizing one on a personal level had to be Harwell. >> Britain's Harwell laboratory announced it is giving up its attempts to duplicate the fusion experiments.
>>Narrator: He had personally sent them fusion cells a month before the announcement banking on their neutron detectors to see something he hadn’t. But they declared in June that they were stopping all cold fusion experiments. Harwell’s reputation is such that it basically killed cold fusion entirely in the UK.
And by now many of the labs that had initially come out in favour had one by one retracted their results for one reason or another. It’s worth exploring some of those reasons. On April 10th, two groups had raced to become the first in the country to confirm cold fusion. They were Georgia Tech, led by James Mahaffey, and Texas A&M, led by Chuck Martin.
Georgia Tech later announced an error just four days later. >> Fusion researchers at Georgia Tech have apparently run into a snag. >>Narrator: They realized with horror that
their neutron detector was highly sensitive to temperature. So much so that even holding it in their hands doubled the neutron reading. This is the sort of everyday equipment issue that would have been identified long before ever going public.
But because this was cold fusion, and everyone was in a race to get second, basic mistakes were made due to urgency. It was such a miserable experience that Mahaffey described the retraction as quote: “like going to a hanging, where I was the hangee.” The oversensitivity of neutron detectors was a widespread problem
at several labs. At the minuscule scales they were observing, you could see a neutron spike from nearly anything. A radiation source one room over, a sodium lamp, or a sudden power draw in the electrical grid.
Nuclear science labs, more than most places, would be filled with contaminants leftover from past experiments. And even suppliers of palladium are found to have traces of tritium in their stocks before they ever get to a lab. Chuck Martin’s group found they were
seeing excess heat in light water as well as heavy water. They even swapped out palladium for carbon electrodes, and they still saw it. After much digging they realized that their thermometer had not been properly grounded.
It was supplying extra electrical current, heating the water slightly. Their retraction comes two weeks after their initial press conference. Chuck Martin, who was a close friend of Pons, spent weeks
in a state of personal agony over the issue, but eventually decided to retract the paper. Pons viewed this as a personal betrayal. Two grad students in Seattle made waves on April 13th when they became the first groups to claim evidence of tritium production. They were
using a mass spectrometer to count gas molecules. H2 has a mass of 2. D2 has a mass of 4, DT has a mass of 5, and TT has a mass of 6. If they saw masses of 5 and 6, it would imply tritium production. However, this is still an ambiguous test, as it relied on the assumption
that DDH and D3 were not being produced, which also have masses of 5 and 6 respectively. When they reran the experiment, they confirmed that they were seeing plenty of DDH, but no DT. They retracted their results on May 25th. Lewis’ group at Caltech worked for weeks trying
to come up with every possible explanation for a false positive. When they found one, they would go around phoning labs and warn them of these pitfalls. One way to detect tritium is to mix a special chemical cocktail.
Tritium, being radioactive, will cause the cocktail to emit small flashes of light. However, they soon discovered the lithium electrolyte in the water bath has small traces of potassium in it, which also causes the small flashes. They also found an explanation for why some labs were seeing small amounts of helium
embedded in their palladium rods. Helium is often used as a cooling agent in general lab work. Over time glassware will slowly absorb helium. Throughout the cold fusion
experiments small amounts of helium were leeching into the palladium. In fact, this was the same reason that Paneth and Peters retracted their fusion paper all the way back in the 1920s. History had just repeated itself.
Robert Huggins’ group at Stanford claimed they saw excess heat in both light and heavy water, with heavy water showing noticeably more. What his group didn’t account for is that heavy water and light water have different electrical conductivity when lithium is added.
With everything else the same, the heavy water will get hotter. But besides this there also seemed to be a pattern with when they saw excess heat. It happened most often on the weekends. This is because less
electricity is used on the grid on weekends, meaning slightly higher voltages were being supplied to the experiment. One thing that both critics and advocates of cold fusion agree on is that excess heat is inconsistent. You’d only see it very occasionally.
As one member of the government panel, Al Bard, argued, what was happening is that all the results are points on a bell curve distribution. Some will show excess heat, most will show nothing, and some will even show negative. But that’s how statistics work in an experimental setting.
The average result is what you want to focus on. Therefore it’s misleading to publish a paper with positive results while neglecting to mention you saw far more negative results. If you actually took
the negative results into account, your graphs would have massive error bars, showing that the excess heat was well within the margin of error. The government panel worked well into the Fall. By their estimation around $30 million had been spent by US labs attempting to replicate the effect, and another $10 million abroad.
When they published their final report in November, they concluded that there was not quote: “convincing evidence that useful sources of energy will result from the phenomena attributed to cold fusion.” >> The prospect of federal funding for cold fusion research virtually vanished today. The advisory group's recommendations
are not binding on the energy department, but it would be unusual if they were ignored. >> Although the panel largely came to a consensus, there was one bit of internal drama. One of the two co-chairs, Norman Ramsey, had been largely absent from the panel for most its tenure. When he took the role
on he made a note to say it seemed quote: “a terrible job”. And according to John Huizenga his co-chair, Ramsey spent most of the summer abroad, and later in the year he won a Nobel Prize, and was even less available. When they were drafting the final report he blindsided by
them by announcing that he was going to resign. Having such a high profile member resign right before they published would severely undermine the credibility of the report. Ramsey was willing to stay on if they included a preamble he wrote which was much less negative about cold fusion than the rest of the report.
The panel, feeling they had been backed into a corner, accepted the lesser evil of including the wishy-washy introduction. Still, Ramsey’s ultimatum would fuel rumours of conspiracy and a coverup. Chase Peterson alleged that the panel was biased. Quote: “the
university’s loudest critics have come from large, well financed schools that have sizeable stakes in the more conventional, and more expensive, hot fusion projects.” On the other hand, more than a few hot fusion experts said the opposite. >> In terms of the hard work I've put in for 10 years on this project, you know it's sort of like a kick in the teeth, but I
certainly hope that they have something there. >> If this development says that all the work that you've done in the past is really not relevant now because we have this new energy source, safe, cheap, and environmentally benign. I’d just be tickled pink if we had that.
>> The federal government would not fund cold fusion, although they were quote: “sympathetic toward modest support for carefully focused and cooperative experiments within the present funding system.” The report almost concluded with a quote from Alice in Wonderland. It was removed from the final version at the suggestion of Darleane
Hoffman. She felt that it would only feed into pre-existing perceptions of believers that the panel was biased. The quote went like this: ‘Alice laughed. “There’s no use trying,” she said.
“One can’t believe impossible things.” “I daresay you haven’t had much practice,” said the Queen. “When I was your age, I always did it for half-an-hour a day. Why, sometimes I’ve believed as many
as six impossible things before breakfast.’” [Music] >> If cold fusion was to be brought back from the brink of death, it needed a miracle. How appropriate given its birthplace. Most of the American public had lost interest and moved on with their lives, but according to a poll
taken in September, 61% of Utah residents still believed in cold fusion. When Nature rejected Pons and Fleischmann’s paper, the lieutenant governor stated quote: “We are not going to allow some English magazine to decide how state money is handled.” The first ever annual cold fusion conference was held, as you might have guessed, in Salt Lake City, just a little over one year
since the announcement. The Governor of Utah was a guest of honor at the reception, and dessert was provided by the Utah based company Mrs. Field’s cookies. The state of Utah had paid $5 million to
establish their National Cold Fusion Institute, and they were going to make sure they got their money’s worth. In July 1989 a state appointed panel would vote on whether to release the bulk of the $5 million to the NCFI. The decision rested on whether cold fusion had been “confirmed” or
not. Notably, the council had nine members, but only two of them were scientists, and one of those two was actively writing his own cold fusion funding proposal. Although by this point there were far too many conflicting results to determine anything concrete, all
9 members of the panel voted yes on the 21st. >> I didn’t say I would give us an A, or a B ,or a C, or a D. I said we passed and so I voted. >> Justification? Well it seems to me that if
you can spend half a billion dollars for 20 years on hot fusion and not get anywhere you can certainly spend a few million dollars, a mere 10 million or something like that, on cold fusion. So I would vote absolutely for it. >> News Anchor: And with the vote of confidence
attorney general Paul Van Dam says despite news reports to the contrary, the experiments are now legally scientifically confirmed. >>Narrator: They rented out a fancy new building in the university’s research park, which would cost them nearly $300k in just the first year. Chase Peterson’s vision for the institute was to hire somewhere between 40 to 100 researchers.
They would not just be studying cold fusion, but making working commercial prototypes. But ever since its inception it had been doomed to fail. Namely, because Pons and Fleischmann wanted nothing to do with it. Hugo Rossi was the dean of science at U of U
and one of the first people Pons told about cold fusion. They had a solid relationship, and because he was trained as a mathematician, Rossi mostly took Pons at his word on the experiments. By the summer it was clear that they needed someone in charge of the institute,
and Rossi stepped up as interim director. A big part of his job was to attract funding, which translated to PR. Rossi became a target for much public criticism, which likely contributed to a sense of stubbornness.
He thought that the critics of cold fusion were being far too negative when it was still early days. Quote: “I am somebody who left the whole Cambridge complex to come out to Utah not because it’s God’s territory but because I rebelled against the smug sureness.
And that’s what I kept seeing in all this. Maybe it was just wishful thinking. God, I want those smug assholes to be wrong. Those people who were just so damned sure of themselves.” His first order of business was to hire researchers, and naturally, he asked Pons and Fleischmann.
To his surprise, they said no. >> That Carol, was one of the concerns expressed by the council today. It has been made very clear that Pons and Fleischmann prefer to stay in their own lab in the basement of the chemistry building. >> Why? Explanations vary, but it would be
reasonable to assume that they were a bit territorial after their issues with Steven Jones and Marvin Hawkins. This was their discovery, and splitting the credit even further wasn’t something they were super eager about. It’s also likely that Pons and Fleischmann were distrustful of the U
of U administration, particularly Chase Peterson, who they were now blaming for forcing the press conference and any embarrassment that came along with it. Many people observed that between the two of them, Fleischmann dealt with the stress far better than Pons. Fleischmann had always
been very social and a confident public speaker, whereas Pons was an introverted homebody who had a very close circle of friends. And as questions about the work began to turn into doubt, Pons was visibly cracking under the pressure. Quote: “I don’t think I’ve ever seen a man driven to such impatience, almost as though a stone in the shoe would have
driven him wild at that point. The way people behave when they’re under far more pressure than the good Lord meant them to be under.” Even John Bockris, one of Pons’ remaining allies, said he worried for Pons’ mental health. At first, Rossi had understood Pons and
Fleischmann’s reluctance to collaborate with other groups, but as the months marched on and the retractions kept coming out he was now frustrated with their unwillingness to play nice. In June, he sent them a letter that said something to the effect of “we’re losing the propaganda war.” After significant prodding, they agreed to some form of partnership, they set
up a couple of their cells at the institute. But later, Rossi found out that they set them up as a dummy experiment. Two cells were running, but with nothing to collect data. In other
words, they were just running electricity into a jar of water for show. Rossi would defend Pons and Fleischmann for longer than most. He didn’t assume fraud for the longest time, although he did call Pons paranoid, and mentioned that he was quote: “sandbagging the
community.” And Rossi only grew further wary of Pons when he submitted a funding request for equipment sold by a company his son worked at. By August the institute had only hired two researchers, and their names didn’t start with a P or an F.
Rossi was quickly becoming jaded and desperate. BYU flatout refused to be associated with the place for obvious reasons. Eventually he did sign on Marvin Hawkins, since he had nowhere else to go.
>> Reporter: If this is not fusion, if it is some unknown chemical reaction, did we lose? >> Who lost? Are you kidding, we've done science, we've got results that has stretched the imagination, we have got the public thinking in a very positive scientific way. Has anybody lost? Not a single person.
If this goes absolutely bust nobody's lost, especially not science. >>Narrator: Mark Anderson, who had taken over from Hawkins, decided to take a job elsewhere, and leave cold fusion behind. In the
meantime, Rossi had managed to recruit at least one physics prof in a sort of watchdog role. Mike Salamon from U of U. He knew all about the drama surrounding the gamma rays and he wanted to help clear up the confusion.
>> One, has fusion been seen here at the University of Utah? Quite possibly. Has the large energy output that Pons and Fleischmann see due to nuclear fusion? No, we really don't believe it is. >> Reporter: It's probably something else? >> Our attitude is— we're raising our hands, we don't know what it is.
It's possible it is fusion. If it is we have a lot to learn. >> He offered to set up some of his detectors in Pons’ lab.
One night Salamon got a call from Mark Anderson that a cell was boiling. Salamon rushed over to the lab, saw that it was, and rushed off to get more equipment. Except when he came back, the cell was off.
Pons had told Anderson to turn it off so they wouldn’t waste any heavy water. Salamon was dumbstruck. This was the only time in over a month he had seen any cells boil, and Pons was clearly trying to prevent him from getting any meaningful data.
Then Pons told him needed space for a new detector, and so Salamon took his gear and he left. Pons would later send him a letter telling him that there had been one cell with excess heat while Salamon’s equipment was in the lab, but it just so happened to occur right after a
power outage that had reset his equipment. It was the kind of coincidence that was downright insulting to even suggest. On August 23rd, Salamon holds a press conference where he announces his negative results. He went on to write a very negative paper and
submitted it to Nature, which was published on the one-year anniversary of the original press conference. Once the paper was in print Gary Triggs sent threatening letters accusing him of libel and demanding a retraction. Pons had tried to use Triggs to silence critics before, but
this had crossed a very serious line because Salamon was a fellow professor at U of U, causing a major PR crisis. It was soon uncovered that U of U had previously paid Gary Triggs as much as $68,000 for Pons’ legal fees. That meant, technically, U of U was paying a lawyer so that
one of their professors could sue another one of their professors. This was a massive conflict of interest, and as soon as this fact was made public, U of U cut ties with Triggs. Salamon too would abandon cold fusion.
Quote: “My continued involvement, even in a sort of an adversarial role, was being perceived as extraordinarily stupid on my part. It was beginning to blacken my reputation with the faculty.” On September 26th Rossi tells the Salt Lake City Tribune that if that if the institute has no solid data to present by February, then they’ll
have to shut down. He gave that statement in response to a direct question from a reporter, but the way it was portrayed in the paper was: Quote: “State-funded lab may soon stop cold-fusion experiments.” Now you’ve got the governor pissed, and Pons and Fleischmann think Rossi has stabbed them in the back.
In private they send letters where they rant about Rossi. Quote: “He’s bent…he lies out of his teeth.” Now you’ve got private companies freezing their investments. Rossi wants to resign but realizes the terrible optics of that move, and so he sticks with it.
But the final straw for him was the double-blind double-cross. By now Pons and Fleischmann were full in on the third decay branch as their last resort. It was statistically unlikely, but if the palladium rods showed evidence of
helium, then it would be potential evidence of fusion. And so a bunch of skeptical labs like MIT and Sandia, called their bluff, and said sure, let us analyze them. After much back and forth, Pons finally agrees as long as a neutral third party acted as a mediator.
Two of the five rods had helium artificially added as a control. One rod was completely clean and had no helium. And the remaining two rods had been run in fusion cells and had supposedly generated excess heat, and therefore helium. Critically, the labs testing for helium don’t know which rods
are which, and Pons doesn’t know which rods were sent where. It’s a double blind test. On October 6th Stan Pons went to meet with the neutral third party. The deal was that both parties would
exchange data. Pons was given the helium analysis, and then he just refused to share which rods showed excess heat. He had just willfully, knowingly, ruined the double blind nature of the test.
The results of the helium analysis were just as confusing. The rod that was supposed to have zero helium in it ended up showing helium. Whether this was an accidental contamination or an intentional mix-up was impossible to prove, but it rendered the entire experiment useless. But more to the point, the one cell that had supposedly generated heat did not show helium
above the background level. The other labs wanted to publish these results, but Gary Triggs sent them all legal threats. This meant that the helium results were only made public an entire year later in late 1990.
The helium fiasco was a step too far for Rossi. Not only that, but the faculty at U of U were saying that if he stayed involved with cold fusion, they’d likely push for him not to come back as dean. >> The interim director of Utah's cold fusion institute is stepping down to
make room for some new blood. >> News Anchor: But the man who's headed this controversial private corporation claims convenience, not conflict, prompted his resignation 6 weeks early. >> When he was back at U of U, he joined the
rest of the faculty in demanding a full review of the institute. Pons and Fleischmann would be hauled in and interrogated by state officials. [Music] There was just one problem. They were
nowhere to be found. Between the two of them, Fleischmann was the easier one to track down. He had long since gone back to England, supposedly for medical reasons. He claimed the school had
not made a good faith effort to contact him, and he declined to attend the review. Pons on the other hand was nearly impossible to track down. He was so rarely in his own lab that some people theorized he had moved his experiments to his own home, although there was no major evidence of this.
And then one day, he’s just gone. He has subs teaching his classes. His house was put up for sale. No one knows where he is. The first official contact from him is
a letter via Gary Triggs where he says he’s resigning as a tenured professor, and asks for a temporary research position instead. Later he’ll ask for a year long leave of absence, which will be denied. The public pressure had been crushing for Pons.
By this point, physicist Frank Close had published his book, Too Hot to Handle, which came as close as UK libel law would allow, to implying fraud on the part of Pons. When Close had interviewed Fleischmann, he appeared to lay the blame of the gamma ray peaks entirely on Pons.
But the hate had extended to his family. His house was bombarded with phone calls, some threatening. His wife Sheila described how classmates of their daughter began to bully her. Quote: “Our daughter was in school. At
the time, she was 11 or 12 years old, a very sensitive age. Some of the children said to her, ‘Your dad’s a fraud. Why did he do this to us. Why do we have Utah smeared like this
because of your dad.’” Cold fusion had begun as a source of Utah pride. But the state had turned on Pons for embarrassing them. Even Fleischmann is told in February that it’s highly unlikely he’ll be reappointed as a visiting professor. The next time Pons was seen in Utah was when
the institute was undergoing its review, for which he was required to make an appearance. He did so only after Utah’s Assistant Attorney General told him he didn’t have a choice. This very well could be the final time he stepped foot in Utah. When questioned by the review
panel, he said the same thing he’d said since it was first announced to the world. To Pons, cold fusion was real. But that didn’t matter. Following some investigative reporting it
was revealed that $500k in donations was made to the cold fusion institute that did not come from an external source, but was in fact university funds that Chase Peterson shuffled around. Although not strictly illegal, it was incredibly deceptive, clearly an attempt to reel in more outside money.
This was a disaster for PR, and a private company halted their donation of $160k. Chase Peterson had a no confidence motion pushed on him by the faculty. They wanted him gone.
Contrary to what he said a year earlier, Peterson says he did not necessarily believe in cold fusion. He just said that if there’s even an infinitesimal chance it was, that the enormous benefits justified taking a chance on it. He clearly believed that enough that it cost
him his job. Knowing he was a dead man walking, he announced he would resign in a year’s time. This seemed to satisfy his faculty, and they let him live out his remaining term as a lame duck.
Peterson resigned as president in June 1991. That same month the institute is shut down. The $5 million they had been gifted by the state had run out, and no new money was coming in. It was over.
Even Utah had given up on cold fusion. The same could be seen in miniature in Washington, where cold fusion had become taboo. Only Wayne Owens, representative for Utah, wasted any breath on the topic.
Here he is giving a passionate speech arguing for continued funding despite the earlier disappointments. The way he’s speaking you’d think he was addressing a packed audience, but when the CSPAN feed cuts to a wider shot of the chamber, it feels almost like the camera crew has a sense of humour.
We should take a moment to revisit our friend Steven Jones, who had spent that past several months portraying himself as more pragmatic and rational version of Pons and Fleischmann. He had accepted an offer from Yale to collaborate. They had offered up their highly
sensitive neutron detectors. Remember, Jones’ claim was that he saw no excess heat, but he did see an extremely subtle neutron spike. >> The confidence level is about 1 chance in 2 million right now that we have made a mistake.
>> Narrator: Yale was even going to shut down its particle accelerator for a week to lower the background radiation. This was a prime chance for Jones to cement his credibility. But several months went
by, the collaboration went up in flames. >> I’m not sure you're doing the right experiment either Moshe. You have to look at the—you look at just— >> You are not sure I am doing the right experiment— >> Jones: My experiment.
>> —but I am convinced that you’re not doing the right neutron counting >> Narrator: Jones refused to put his name on any of the data, data that showed no signs of neutrons. The Yale group went ahead and published without him, a scathing rebuke of Jones’ claims.
There are other controversial disputes that arise. One of the more notable is the tritium spiking allegations at Texas A&M. A group led by John Bockris is accused of fraud by fellow professors and a journalist.
An internal investigation dragged on for a year, and in the end did not conclusively prove intentional tampering. But the tritium readings that were once credited with keeping cold fusion’s hopes alive during the summer of 1989 were almost certainly due to contamination. Bockris’
reputation is stained for the rest of his career. Pons had warned many people of the deadly potential of this experiment. Only once did his fears come true. On January 2nd 1992, a group at the Stanford Research Institute had accidentally mixed together a highly flammable amount of
hydrogen and oxygen. It wasn’t fusion, it was just a normal deadly explosion. Three people were injured, and one researcher, Andrew Riley, was killed in the blast. The lab continued their
work, but now with bullet proof glass installed. A year goes by. Then another. Cold fusion has become a taboo.
In America and the UK it is seen as a colossal waste of time, energy and money. The only ones still working on it are either doing it through self funding, or they’re doing it in secret, tucked away in a larger lab afraid of what their bosses might say if they found out. Even if you were trying to disprove it, it’s seen as beneath you.
Anyone who wanted to be taken seriously were better off pretending it didn’t exist. For the public, who can only follow what the news tells them, cold fusion feels like a future that was ripped away from them. The lofty
promises that were made on March 23rd 1989 have yet to pan out. They were promised a future that would be full of clean energy. They were told that a gallon of sea water was enough to power a city. There wasn’t supposed to be another Exxon Valdez, no more Chernobyls.
Cold fusion had instead become a joke. A throwaway punchline in an episode of the Simpsons. That thing you heard about a few years ago.
“Whatever happened to that?” you’ll wonder, before moving on with your day. But there were also those who didn’t forget. A certain subset, they believe something more sinister happened. Who was trying to shut this down? Hot fusion physicists? The Big Banks? Big Oil? Even as early
as May 1989 members of the public were suspicious that some sort of coverup must be happening. Take for instance this CSPAN phone call-in hour. >> Caller: All right you know on an ABC station in Fort Wayne Indiana, they said there's nothing to this fusion deal.
That was early this week and I was wondering who's trying to cover it up will it come to pass will we ever get it. >> Uh, sure— >> Narrator: Among the most prominent of these conspiracy mongers was Eugene Mallove. At the time of the Utah announcement he was MIT’s
chief science writer and wrote many of their press releases. He believed that researchers at MIT altered their data in an attempt to disprove cold fusion, and resigned in protest. He founded a magazine, wrote books, and even shot a documentary arguing that cold fusion was a victim
of a conspiracy, a widescale reputation trap. >> The field of cold fusion has been marginalized by the establishment by creating certain myths about it, and pejorative terminology being used which is highly inappropriate, has no bearing at all on what's being done, called pathological science, junk science.
It's just basically name calling. The equivalent of demanding that cold fusion works like hot fusion is like saying a transistor works like a radio tube. It's idiotic, it's stupid, it makes no sense and yet that's what was demanded.
>> He will spend the rest of his life arguing that commercial cold fusion energy is just a couple years away. Always a couple years away. By 1994 there was a bit of a lingering question. >> Pons and Fleischmann themselves
disappeared from the scene. Where did they go? To the south of France that's where. >> Narrator: A company called Technova had decided to invest in Pons and Fleischmann’s research. Technova as it turned
out, was a subsidiary of Toyota. >> Reporter: Pons and Fleischmann now work in a $15 million lab created for them by the Japanese. In retrospect they recall they really had no choice but to leave the United States.
>> Narrator: Yet another moment of irony. For the first time in years the two men seemed happy to be giving interviews. But it was clear the controversy had taken its toll. >> I can remember that I was extremely
bitter and upset at the time. Thought we'd been treated extremely unjustly which I still do. Again I think the critics were not operating within the bounds of sanity and I think we were victimized in that respect.
I really don't have any feelings about it anymore it's just a non-issue now. >> Fleischmann: I think you become numb >> You become numb to it. >> Narrator: But if anything, he was even more confident.
>> I mean the criticisms that came were—90-95% of the criticism was just unwarranted. Could almost use the word stupid for most of it. >> Reporter: And how many years away might
you be from developing something like that? >> Well the first the first prototypes we built now are—need to be redesigned. I would say probably by the end of the year. >>Reporter: Within a year? You're kidding. >> No I think that's attainable.
>> Narrator: This prediction by Pons did not come to fruition. In 1995 he and Fleischmann had a permanent falling out. Japan’s government pulled their funding in 1997, and a year later the lab closed entirely.
The estimated investment was £12 million. We have very few details about what went down between the two men. According to Physics World, Fleischmann and Pons disagreed on the direction of the research and Fleischmann felt like he was being ignored. The 2012 documentary The
Believers contains some of the last interviews with Fleischmann. It ends with the question of whether he’s still friends with Stanley Pons, the man he used to host a yearly Christmas party with. His answer is no.
It’s clearly a painful memory. He ponders for a moment what he would ask Pons if he saw him again. Two things. “How are you?” And after a bit of laughter, quote: “Are you continuing with the dreadful research?” Fleischmann will never fully give
up on cold fusion, he’ll continue to keep in touch with those in the field, and even attend the occasional cold fusion conference. He passed away in 2012 due to complications from Parkinson’s. If Stanley Pons was hard to get a hold of before, he would eventually vanish off the face of the earth.
He lives on a farm in France with his wife. He has no plans to return to the US, and he gave up his citizenship. He has never given a recorded interview since. All we know is that he just wants to be left alone.
[Music] In 1911, frustrated by a flood of patent applications for perpetual motion machines, the US Patent Commissioner mandated that all submissions now required a prototype to run for a full year before it would be accepted. To date there has never been a successful patent for a perpetual motion machine.
And in 2004 the Patent Office had made it routine policy to reject any submission that mentioned cold fusion. Many will still try by using a different name, but it’s nearly impossible for them not to mention the Pons and Fleischmann experiment in some form. By the late 1990s cold fusion
had become ubiquitous shorthand in popular culture as a synonym for nonsense science. The name had become toxic. This a graph of papers mentioning cold fusion since 1989. After the massive explosion of papers in 1989 and 1990 the publication rate falls off a cliff.
Most of them never even peer reviewed. As early as 1994 even advocates had begun to downplay the label. They argued that cold fusion was a misnomer. It hadn’t been coined by Pons
and Fleischmann, and by now many felt that the effect they were seeing might not even be fusion. Some took to calling it the Pons and Fleischmann effect. Steven Jones tried to push for, quote: “anomalous effects in deuterated metals”, but his word salad never caught on. The only
name that had any major staying power was LENR, or L.E.N.R. Short for low energy nuclear reactions. It does its job well. It’s mundane, and could apply to a dozen different phenomena.
And it has none of the baggage. Although even this acronym is divisive, as some people insist that it should stand for something like lattice enabled nuclear reactions, or some other variant. And that hints to the critical issue. LENR research is highly splintered, full of conflicting
theories, methods, and even interpersonal feuds. When Pons and Fleischmann left the public eye, there was no clear leader in the field to take their place. Some insist it’s still fusion, while others argue it’s an electroweak interaction. Some argue it can be a new source of energy, others argue it’s just a scientific curiosity. Some say it can only occur in heavy water, others
say light water works just fine. Some still insist on using palladium, others have moved on to nickel. Some believe Pons and Fleischmann were mistaken but onto to something real, while others believe they were correct from the start but the scientific establishment buried their results in
a concerted smear campaign. There are as many as 60 competing theoretical models, none of which can make reliable predictions. And even those who claim to see neutrons or tritium admit that they can’t do it with any sort of consistency.
The LENR advocates feel they have been pushed out of the establishment and no one will take them seriously. Nobel Laureate Julian Schwinger left the American Physical Society in protest when they refused to publish his papers on it. And so
they’ve built their own communities. Forums that serve as echo chambers, where critical members are banned if they ask the wrong questions. The crux of the issue is that maybe there’s something there, but the reputation trap is based on legitimate issues.
Some of the advocates are respectable researchers with solid backgrounds. Edmund Storms from Los Alamos, Micheal McKubre from Stanford research, and Peter Hagelstein, a tenured professor at MIT. According to this proposal from a futurist think tank: “At the beginning of 2017, there were 114 entities actively engaged
in LENR R&D across four continents.” But for every person with a decent resume, there is someone who has attached themselves to LENR’s and cold fusion just to make a quick buck. Take Randell Mills, whose theory would require a complete reworking of how we modeled the hydrogen atom, a new type of particle he called the hydrino.
Mills has also trademarked the term hydrino, which means that a third party experimentalist can’t easily test his theories without first signing an IP agreement with him. Then there is Italian entrepreneur Andrea Rossi, who promised commercial cold fusion reactor called E-Cat for a decade with no results.
He is a blatant snakeoil salesman, with a prior history of white collar crime convictions. Despite his claims all patents he’s been awarded do not mention cold fusion. And Patrick Cochrane had his Nevada cold fusion startup go bankrupt after raising a million dollars and he faced charges from the SEC.
Those are just some of the grifters, and then you have the quacks. Take Nobel Laureate Brian Josephson. He firmly believes in cold fusion, just like he advocates for homeopathy, quantum mysticism
and parapsychology. Next is Dirdrek Irving. A former cardiologist turned cold fusion advocate, he speaks of a personal theory of “superwaves”. In the 2012 doc The Believers, he can be seen telling Martin Fleischmann that he can reverse his Parkinsons, as cold fusion is the mechanism that
both creates energy, and powers his metabolism. Irving’s medical license was revoked in 1995. Enthusiast blogger Ruby Carat wrote a comic book promoting cold fusion, and the way she speaks of it is uncannily similar to the way religious missionaries speak about their work. Quote: “You can drop a copy by the high school chemistry club, or leave one at the doctor’s waiting room, your
political representatives office, or the airport terminal – someone is sure to be inspired.” Even Steve Jones, who portrayed himself as the rational cold fusion guy, descended into conspiracy when he began vocally giving talks on how 9-11 was an inside job. This photo has been cropped the entire video.
This is the full photo. He parted ways with BYU in 2006 over his views. Even if we were to give the benefit of the doubt to the more credible scientists on this end of the spectrum, their association with these folks gives plenty of reason to be skeptical.
The fact that cold fusion and LENR attracts this sort of person does not do it any favours. With all of this in mind, it was a major news story when in 2019 a paper appeared in Nature titled “Revisiting the case of cold fusion.” A team of 30 researchers across several labs took four years to try and induce cold
fusion. Although the bit that made the headlines was that one of the labs was funded by Google. The Pons and Fleischmann effect was not repeated. One of the authors, Chiang, stressed that to his knowledge, no experiment has unambiguously shown excess heat, once all energy sources and sinks are fully accounted for.
When I wrote to one of the other authors, Matt Trevithick, he responded with this: “The conclusion of our work was that neither LENR believers nor skeptics have done enough work of enough quality to support their positions. LENR covers a vast parameter space. In the limited
time and budget we had, we got a sense of the difficulty of producing the conditions under which cold fusion is hypothesized to exist.” Another group I spoke to, ReResearch, similarly found no evidence of excess heat or nuclear products. As for why the repeatability of results is so poor, they argue that most thermal calibrations runs are far shorter than the
lengths of the experiments themselves. It’s only when you calibrate for longer than the experiment can you be sure that your heat measurements are reliable. Quote: “As the majority of research over the past 30 years has not demonstrated this kind of calibration stability, that
eliminates most of the effort in this field.” As skeptical as I am I understand why people have clung onto this for so long. >> As it was pointed out we're in deep trouble come the year 2030, so we're going—or 2040 I think he said, so we're going to have to do something fast and you know that's why we're going to push as hard as we
absolutely can to see if this is going to work. >> The issues that felt so urgent back in 1989 are still the same issues we’re dealing with today, and are barely any closer to solving them. The necessary political and societal solutions are so divisive that they feel impossible to implement.
People want to believe in a revolutionary source of energy that can be powered by our most abundant resource, seawater. Because it would be a magic bullet that would render everything else irrelevant. Cold fusion won’t save us.
We’ve been through this cycle before, and we’ll go through it again. We can’t bet everything on just technology. With all that being said, with the renewed attention in the past few years, LENR advocates have finally gotten their wish.
In 2023 the Department of Energy’s R&D fund, ARPA-E, awarded $10 million to LENR research, spread across five labs. That’s obviously quite a huge sum of money, but to put that in context, I’d point out that they also awarded $1 billion to traditional hot fusion research.
The $10 million is also not an endorsement of LENR being a real phenomenon, just that it warrants more funding to, in their own words: “break the stalemate.” “evidence for LENR is insufficient due to the ambiguous nature of heat, numerous confounding variables, potential sources of measurement error, and possible prosaic explanations.” I have not read the vast majority of what’s
been written on LENR in the past two decades. I cannot tell you definitively that there isn’t something there. And so I’m not going to object if the US government or Google wants to divert some of their vast pools of wealth. But what I am confident on is that the work of Pons
and Fleischmann was rushed, misleading, and mired with dishonesty. In recent years there has been an effort to whitewash that history. As to whether they were treated fairly, you’ll have to decide for yourself.
The last time cold fusion made prime time news was in 2009, when 60 Minutes aired a special interviewing Martin Fleischmann. The special had little new to show, just the same claims that people have been making since the 90s. Fleischmann
himself hadn’t done active research in years. >> When you hold that in your hand and you think back on what's happened these last 20 years what do you think? >> The wasted opportunity. >> Wasted? Because it was discredited at the time? >>Narrator: What it did show was a man at the tail end of his life, wondering how this things went so wrong.
>> I’m getting you interested again? >> Yes >> Interviewer: The potential is exciting? >> The potential is exciting, yes. >> The truth is, you can’t really kill an idea. Once it’s out there you can only turn the cameras off.